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Serie B

Perugia

S T U U S

0–2

Full-time

Cittadella

S T U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Perugia Cittadella

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

33%

17%

Both score Ø 34%

50%

17%

Average goals

2,3

1,3

Scored

1,0

0,8

Conceded

1,3

0,5

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,3

This season — Serie B · 11/11 matches

Win Ø 45%

45%

Points per game

1,7

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 41%

45%

36%

Both score Ø 41%

55%

27%

Average goals

2,4

2,0

Scored

1,3

0,9

Conceded

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

15 Shots 19

5 Shots on target 10

8 Corners 9

16 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Perugia 3. · Cittadella 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benevento	11	7	3	1	+8	24
2	Crotone	12	6	3	3	+8	21
3	Perugia	11	5	4	2	+2	19
4	Chievo	11	4	6	1	+5	18
5	Pordenone	11	5	3	3	+3	18
6	Salernitana	11	5	3	3	+2	18
7	Ascoli	12	5	2	5	+4	17
8	Empoli	11	4	5	2	+2	17
9	Cittadella	11	5	2	4	-2	17
10	Pescara	11	5	1	5	+4	16
11	Virtus Entella	11	4	3	4	-2	15
12	Frosinone	11	3	5	3	-1	14
13	Pisa	11	3	4	4	+0	13
14	Venezia	11	3	4	4	-1	13
15	Spezia	11	3	3	5	-2	12
16	Cremonese	11	3	3	5	-7	12
17	Cosenza	11	2	5	4	+0	11
18	Livorno	11	3	1	7	-5	10
19	Juve Stabia	11	3	1	7	-9	10
20	Trapani	11	1	3	7	-9	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benevento	6	5	1	0	+9	16
2	Pordenone	6	4	2	0	+7	14
3	Crotone	7	4	2	1	+6	14
4	Ascoli	6	4	1	1	+6	13
5	Empoli	5	3	2	0	+5	11
6	Frosinone	5	3	2	0	+5	11
7	Perugia	5	3	2	0	+4	11
8	Pescara	6	3	1	2	+5	10
9	Virtus Entella	5	3	1	1	+1	10
10	Cittadella	6	3	1	2	-1	10
11	Chievo	5	2	3	0	+3	9
12	Salernitana	6	2	3	1	+1	9
13	Livorno	6	3	0	3	+0	9
14	Pisa	5	2	2	1	+3	8
15	Cremonese	5	2	1	2	-1	7
16	Cosenza	6	1	3	2	+0	6
17	Juve Stabia	5	2	0	3	-4	6
18	Spezia	6	1	2	3	-2	5
19	Venezia	5	1	1	3	-3	4
20	Trapani	5	0	2	3	-3	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Chievo	6	2	3	1	+2	9
2	Venezia	6	2	3	1	+2	9
3	Salernitana	5	3	0	2	+1	9
4	Benevento	5	2	2	1	-1	8
5	Perugia	6	2	2	2	-2	8
6	Crotone	5	2	1	2	+2	7
7	Spezia	5	2	1	2	+0	7
8	Cittadella	5	2	1	2	-1	7
9	Pescara	5	2	0	3	-1	6
10	Empoli	6	1	3	2	-3	6
11	Cosenza	5	1	2	2	+0	5
12	Virtus Entella	6	1	2	3	-3	5
13	Pisa	6	1	2	3	-3	5
14	Cremonese	6	1	2	3	-6	5
15	Ascoli	6	1	1	4	-2	4
16	Pordenone	5	1	1	3	-4	4
17	Juve Stabia	6	1	1	4	-5	4
18	Trapani	6	1	1	4	-6	4
19	Frosinone	6	0	3	3	-6	3
20	Livorno	5	0	1	4	-5	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.