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Ligue 2
Referee: Jeremy Stinat
Red Star
S S S T S
1–1
Full-time
Rodez
S S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Red Star Rodez
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
83%
50%
Points per game
2,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,2
Scored
2,0
1,2
Conceded
0,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+0,2
This season — Ligue 2 · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 51%
63%
38%
Points per game
2,0
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 51%
63%
38%
Both score Ø 44%
50%
38%
Average goals
2,8
2,1
Scored
1,8
0,9
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

66% Possession 34%
16 Shots 7
4 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 2
2 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 19
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Red Star 4. · Rodez 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Troyes 9 6 2 1 +10 20
2 Pau FC 9 6 2 1 +8 20
3 St Etienne 8 5 2 1 +7 17
4 Red Star 8 5 1 2 +6 16
5 Reims 8 4 2 2 +3 14
6 Guingamp 9 4 2 3 -3 14
7 Nancy 9 3 3 3 -1 12
8 Montpellier 8 3 2 3 +0 11
9 Rodez 8 3 2 3 -3 11
10 Dunkerque 9 2 4 3 +2 10
11 Le Mans 9 2 4 3 -1 10
12 Clermont 9 2 4 3 -4 10
13 Amiens 9 2 3 4 -2 9
14 Annecy 9 2 3 4 -3 9
15 Boulogne 9 3 0 6 -4 9
16 Laval 9 1 5 3 -4 8
17 Grenoble 8 1 3 4 -4 6
18 Bastia 9 0 4 5 -7 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Red Star Rodez
24′
🟨 Jean Lambert Evan's Allan
30′
🟨 Mathis Magnin
Half-time 0–0
Bradley Danger 🟨
47′
49′
K. Nagera 0–1
K. Cabral 🔁
↦ D. Durand
66′
H. Benali 🔁
↦ J. Ikanga
67′
1–1 K. Cisse
D. Durivaux
73′
74′
🔁 M. Achi
↦ O. Joly
74′
🔁 I. Balde
↦ T. Arconte
76′
🟨 Nolan Galves
Kevin Cabral 🟨
79′
85′
🟨 Jordan Mendes Correia
A. Hachem 🔁
↦ S. E. Khaoui
86′
87′
🔁 M. Tourraine
↦ N. Galves
87′
🔁 M. Saka
↦ K. Nagera
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Red Star

3-1-4-2
16 G. Poussin G
4 J. Kayi Sanda D
27 B. Danger D
20 D. Durivaux D
81 G. Haag M
22 D. Sylla M
98 R. Hachem M
10 S. E. Khaoui M
11 K. Cisse M
23 J. Ikanga F
7 D. Durand F
Bench (7)
1 Q. Beunardeau
12 V. Kany
17 S. Renel
25 G. Trani
29 H. Benali
91 K. Cabral
21 A. Hachem

Coach: Grégory Poirier

Rodez

5-3-2
1 Q. Braat G
25 N. Galves D
5 C. Jolibois D
4 M. Magnin D
3 R. Lipinski D
15 E. Jean-Lambert
26 S. Benchamma M
6 J. Mendes M
22 O. Joly M
11 T. Arconte F
9 K. Nagera F
Bench (7)
16 L. Margueron
14 M. Tourraine
20 R. Ponti
7 M. Achi
28 M. Saka
10 M. Baaloudj
18 I. Balde

Coach: Didier Santini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,92
U ✓
3,43
B
3,61
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,82
U2,5 ✓
1,90
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Jeremy Stinat · 13 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
27,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.