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Ligue 1
Referee: Gael Angoula
Brest
T T T S S
0–0
Full-time
Nantes
T S T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brest Nantes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,7
2,0
Scored
1,8
0,8
Conceded
1,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ligue 1 · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,7
2,0
Scored
1,8
0,8
Conceded
1,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,51 xG 0,15
51% Possession 49%
17 Shots 6
5 Shots on target 0
7 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 5
12 Corners 3
1 Offside 3
11 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Brest 10. · Nantes 16. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Marseille 7 5 0 2 +10 +5.5 15
2 Paris SG 6 5 0 1 +8 +3.8 15
3 Lyon 6 5 0 1 +5 +3.7 15
4 Monaco 6 4 0 2 +4 +0.8 12
5 Strasbourg 6 4 0 2 +2 +2.2 12
6 Lille 6 3 1 2 +4 +4.0 10
7 Lens 6 3 1 2 +3 +3.6 10
8 Paris FC 7 3 1 3 -1 -1.3 10
9 Rennes 6 2 3 1 -1 -3.1 9
10 Brest 6 2 1 3 +0 -1.0 7
11 Toulouse 6 2 1 3 -2 +0.5 7
12 Nice 6 2 1 3 -3 -0.9 7
13 Lorient 7 2 1 4 -7 -1.5 7
14 Auxerre 6 2 0 4 -4 -3.5 6
15 Le Havre 6 1 2 3 -2 +1.9 5
16 Nantes 6 1 2 3 -2 -3.7 5
17 Angers 6 1 2 3 -3 -2.9 5
18 Metz 7 0 2 5 -11 -8.1 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

7. Feb -25 Nantes – Brest 0–2 15. Jan -25 Brest – Nantes 2–1 15. Dec -24 Brest – Nantes 4–1 4. May -24 Brest – Nantes 0–0 17. Dec -23 Nantes – Brest 0–2

Match report

Brest Nantes
10′
🟨 Chidozie Awaziem
Pathé Mboup 🟨
17′
Half-time 0–0
63′
🔁 B. Guirassy
↦ M. Lahdo
Ludovic Ajorque 🟨
67′
D. Guindo 🔁
↦ P. Mboup
78′
H. Makalou 🔁
↦ J. Dina Ebimbe
78′
85′
🔁 B. Deuff
↦ D. Tabibou
85′
🔁 Y. El Arabi
↦ Mostafa Mohamed
87′
🔁 N. Cozza
↦ Hong Hyun-Seok
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Brest

4-2-3-1
1 R. Majecki G
77 K. Lala D
5 B. Chardonnet D
4 J. M. Diaz D
2 B. Locko D
13 J. Chotard M
8 H. Magnetti M
7 J. Dina Ebimbe M
23 K. Doumbia M
99 P. Mboup M
19 L. Ajorque F
Bench (7)
30 G. Coudert
26 J. Le Cardinal
27 D. Guindo
36 R. Le Guen
33 H. Makalou
32 I. Y. Kante
29 S. Diop

Coach: Éric Serge Roy

Nantes

4-1-4-1
1 A. Lopes G
98 K. Amian D
6 C. Awaziem D
80 J. Mwanga D
66 L. Leroux D
5 Kwon Hyeok-Kyu M
15 M. Lahdo M
7 Hong Hyun-Seok M
17 D. Tabibou M
10 M. Abline M
31 Mostafa Mohamed F
Bench (9)
30 P. Carlgren
26 U. Radakovic
3 N. Cozza
24 B. Deuff
35 S. Ziani
90 Y. Benhattab
14 A. Camara
19 Y. El Arabi
11 B. Guirassy

Coach: Luís Manuel Ferreira de Castro

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,86
🔒
U ✓
3,59
🔒
B
4,00
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
1,87
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,88
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Gael Angoula · 11 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.