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Ligue 2
Referee: Ahmed Taleb
Red Star
T S S S S
1–3
Full-time
Troyes
U S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Red Star Troyes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,2
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,5
2,7
Scored
1,8
1,8
Conceded
0,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+1,0
This season — Ligue 2 · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,2
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,5
2,7
Scored
1,8
1,8
Conceded
0,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

59% Possession 41%
12 Shots 15
4 Shots on target 8
5 Blocked shots 6
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 4
2 Offside 3
17 Free kicks against 17
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Red Star 2. · Troyes 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St Etienne 6 4 2 0 +7 14
2 Red Star 6 4 1 1 +7 13
3 Troyes 6 4 1 1 +6 13
4 Pau FC 6 3 2 1 +4 11
5 Amiens 6 2 3 1 +4 9
6 Clermont 6 2 3 1 +1 9
7 Montpellier 6 2 2 2 +1 8
8 Annecy 6 2 2 2 +0 8
9 Reims 6 2 2 2 -1 8
10 Nancy 6 2 2 2 -1 8
11 Rodez 6 2 2 2 -3 8
12 Laval 6 1 4 1 -2 7
13 Guingamp 6 2 1 3 -5 7
14 Dunkerque 6 1 3 2 -1 6
15 Le Mans 6 1 2 3 -2 5
16 Grenoble 6 1 2 3 -3 5
17 Boulogne 6 1 0 5 -6 3
18 Bastia 6 0 2 4 -6 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Red Star Troyes
5′
🟨 Adrien Monfray
1–0 M. Huard
15′
25′
M. Ifnaoui 1–1
M. Adeline
26′
A. Mille 1–2
M. Adeline
J. Kayi Sanda 🔁
↦ M. Huard
45′
Half-time 1–2
48′
🟨 Antoine Mille
J. Eickmayer 🔁
↦ S. E. Khaoui
66′
H. Benali 🔁
↦ K. Cisse
67′
68′
J. Assoumou 1–3
70′
🟨 Martin Adeline
B. Danger 🔁
↦ G. Haag
76′
K. Cabral 🔁
↦ R. Hachem
76′
77′
🔁 H. Gambor
↦ M. Adeline
77′
🔁 M. Detourbet
↦ J. Assoumou
82′
🔁 M. El Idrissy
↦ T. Bentayeb
95′
🔁 A. Ouzenadji
↦ A. Mille
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Red Star

3-1-4-2
16 G. Poussin G
20 D. Durivaux D
24 P. Lemonnier D
3 M. Huard D
81 G. Haag M
22 D. Sylla M
98 R. Hachem M
10 S. E. Khaoui M
11 K. Cisse M
23 J. Ikanga F
7 D. Durand F
Bench (7)
1 Q. Beunardeau
27 B. Danger
4 J. Kayi Sanda
8 J. Eickmayer
17 S. Renel
29 H. Benali
91 K. Cabral

Coach: Grégory Poirier

Troyes

4-1-4-1
16 N. Lemaitre G
44 Y. Titi D
6 A. Monfray D
25 P. Gozzi D
14 I. Boura D
8 M. Diop M
10 M. Ifnaoui M
17 A. Mille M
5 M. Adeline M
15 J. Assoumou M
21 T. Bentayeb F
Bench (7)
40 H. Konate
23 H. Gambor
3 A. Ouzenadji
35 R. Murcy
12 E. Odede
11 M. Detourbet
9 M. El Idrissy

Coach: Stéphane Dumont

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,44
U
3,21
B ✓
2,75
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,97
U2,5
1,77
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.