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Ligue 2
Referee: P Gaillouste
Rodez
S T U S U
0–2
Full-time
Red Star
S T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rodez Red Star
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
4,0
4,0
Scored
2,3
2,2
Conceded
1,7
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,3
This season — Ligue 2 · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 31%
31%
31%
Points per game
1,3
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
69%
56%
Both score Ø 57%
69%
44%
Average goals
3,4
2,8
Scored
1,8
1,0
Conceded
1,6
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

50% Possession 50%
13 Shots 12
5 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
5 Corners 5
4 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Rodez 11. · Red Star 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lorient 16 10 3 3 +15 33
2 Paris FC 16 9 4 3 +11 31
3 Dunkerque 16 10 1 5 +5 31
4 Metz 16 8 5 3 +11 29
5 Annecy 16 7 6 3 +5 27
6 Laval 16 7 4 5 +8 25
7 Guingamp 16 8 1 7 +4 25
8 Amiens 16 7 2 7 -1 23
9 Bastia 16 4 10 2 +2 22
10 Pau FC 16 6 4 6 -1 22
11 Rodez 16 5 5 6 +3 20
12 Grenoble 16 5 3 8 -2 18
13 Troyes 16 5 3 8 -4 18
14 Red Star 16 5 3 8 -12 18
15 Clermont 16 4 5 7 -5 17
16 Caen 16 4 3 9 -6 15
17 Ajaccio 16 4 3 9 -7 15
18 Martigues 16 2 3 11 -26 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Rodez Red Star
Wilitty Younoussa 🟨
20′
37′
H. Benali 0–1
Half-time 0–2
47′
A. Badji 0–2
M. Ifnaoui
T. Nkada 🔁
↦ T. Bentayeb
65′
N. Galves 🔁
↦ M. Bouchouari
76′
D. Mazou-Sacko 🔁
↦ W. Taïbi
76′
77′
🔁 B. Danger
↦ F. Dembi
77′
🔁 D. Durand
↦ H. Benali
77′
🔁 J. Eickmayer
↦ M. Ifnaoui
83′
Aliou Badji
penalty missed
M. Corredor 🔁
↦ A. Ngouyamsa
88′
D. Jean 🔁
↦ I. Baldé
88′
91′
🟨 Damien Durand
94′
🔁 J. Escartin
↦ S. Renel
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Rodez

5-3-2
16 L. Mpasi G
11 M. Bouchouari D
6 A. Ngouyamsa D
24 L. Laurent D
4 S. Mambo D
28 A. Abdallah D
8 W. Younoussa M
5 N. Cadiou M
10 W. Taïbi M
22 T. Bentayeb F
18 I. Baldé F
Bench (7)
9 T. Nkada
25 N. Galves
19 D. Mazou-Sacko
33 M. Corredor
20 D. Jean
17 A. Pelon
1 S. Cibois

Coach: D. Santini

Red Star

3-4-1-2
40 R. Risser G
20 D. Durivaux D
2 B. Meyapya D
28 L. Kouagba D
13 F. Doucouré M
26 F. Dembi M
97 S. Renel M
98 R. Hachem M
10 M. Ifnaoui F
29 H. Benali F
21 A. Badji F
Bench (7)
27 B. Danger
7 D. Durand
8 J. Eickmayer
5 J. Escartin
11 K. Cissé
30 P. Bonet
17 I. Botella

Coach: G. Poirier

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,65
U
4,03
B ✓
4,59
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,61
U2,5 ✓
2,26
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

P Gaillouste · 98 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.