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Ligue 2
Referee: K Abed
Nancy
U S S U T
0–1
Full-time
Red Star
U T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nancy Red Star
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,7
Scored
1,0
1,8
Conceded
1,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+1,0
This season — Ligue 2 · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 50%
40%
60%
Points per game
1,6
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
60%
60%
Both score Ø 40%
40%
40%
Average goals
2,4
2,8
Scored
1,2
2,0
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

29% Possession 71%
4 Shots 15
0 Shots on target 6
2 Blocked shots 5
5 Goalkeeper saves 0
3 Corners 4
1 Offside 0
15 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Nancy 5. · Red Star 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St Etienne 5 3 2 0 +6 11
2 Red Star 5 3 1 1 +6 10
3 Troyes 5 3 1 1 +3 10
4 Pau FC 5 2 2 1 +1 8
5 Nancy 5 2 2 1 +0 8
6 Reims 5 2 2 1 +0 8
7 Rodez 5 2 2 1 -2 8
8 Laval 5 1 4 0 +1 7
9 Guingamp 5 2 1 2 -2 7
10 Amiens 5 1 3 1 +1 6
11 Clermont 5 1 3 1 +0 6
12 Dunkerque 5 1 2 2 -1 5
13 Grenoble 5 1 2 2 -1 5
14 Montpellier 5 1 2 2 -1 5
15 Annecy 5 1 2 2 -2 5
16 Le Mans 5 1 1 3 -2 4
17 Boulogne 5 1 0 4 -3 3
18 Bastia 5 0 2 3 -4 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,46
U
3,11
B ✓
2,82
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,21
U2,5 ✓
1,61
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

K Abed · 94 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.