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2. Bundesliga
Referee: Lukas Benen
Hertha
U T S T S
2–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hertha Preußen Münster
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 42%
0%
83%
Average goals
1,7
3,0
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
0,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,0
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 36%
29%
43%
Points per game
1,1
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 65%
43%
86%
Both score Ø 57%
14%
100%
Average goals
1,9
3,6
Scored
1,0
1,7
Conceded
0,9
1,9
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

34% Possession 66%
17 Shots 17
7 Shots on target 6
0 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 5
5 Corners 4
5 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 9
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hertha 13. · Preußen Münster 9.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Paderborn 8 5 2 1 +6 +2.8 17
2 Darmstadt 7 5 1 1 +8 +0.9 16
3 Elversberg 7 5 1 1 +6 -2.9 16
4 Hannover 7 5 1 1 +5 +2.5 16
5 Schalke 04 7 5 0 2 +4 +0.8 15
6 Karlsruhe 7 4 2 1 +2 +0.3 14
7 Kaiserslautern 7 4 0 3 +5 -0.2 12
8 Bielefeld 7 3 1 3 +3 +1.7 10
9 Preußen Münster 7 3 1 3 -1 -2.5 10
10 Fortuna Dusseldorf 8 3 1 4 -7 -3.5 10
11 Holstein Kiel 7 3 0 4 +1 +0.1 9
12 Greuther Furth 7 3 0 4 -3 -0.2 9
13 Hertha 7 2 2 3 +1 -1.9 8
14 Nurnberg 8 2 1 5 -5 +0.1 7
15 Braunschweig 8 2 1 5 -7 -1.1 7
16 Dresden 7 1 2 4 -4 +1.8 5
17 Bochum 7 1 0 6 -6 +1.8 3
18 Magdeburg 7 1 0 6 -8 -0.5 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hertha Preußen Münster
6′
🟨 Rico Preißinger
Fabian Reese ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
12′
1–0 S. Gronning
M. Cuisance
34′
Half-time 1–0
J. Eitschberger 🔁
↦ D. Zeefuik
46′
46′
🔁 M. Kirkeskov
↦ L. Bolay
46′
🔁 E. Amenyido
↦ L. Lokotsch
2–0 S. Gronning
52′
Sebastian Grønning 🟨
53′
58′
🔁 Y. Bouchama
↦ O. Vilhelmsson
58′
🔁 Z. Sertdemir
↦ R. Preissinger
62′
🟨 Paul Jaeckel
Jón Dagur Þórsteinsson 🟨
69′
M. Krattenmacher 🔁
↦ J. D. Thorsteinsson
78′
L. Schuler 🔁
↦ S. Gronning
78′
79′
🔁 M. Batmaz
↦ M. Schulz
84′
E. Amenyido 2–1
O. Batista Meier
Marten Winkler 🟨
88′
B. Mamuzah Lum 🔁
↦ K. Eichhorn
89′
92′
🟨 Johannes Schenk
K. Sessa 🔁
↦ F. Reese
93′
Tjark Ernst 🟨
95′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Hertha

4-2-3-1
1 T. Ernst G
44 L. Gechter D
37 T. Leistner D
31 M. Dardai D
42 D. Zeefuik D
23 K. Eichhorn M
10 M. Cuisance M
22 M. Winkler M
24 J. D. Thorsteinsson M
11 F. Reese M
17 S. Gronning F
Bench (9)
35 M. Gersbeck
34 J. Berner
33 M. Karbownik
3 A. Rogel
2 J. Eitschberger
21 B. Mamuzah Lum
14 M. Krattenmacher
8 K. Sessa
18 L. Schuler

Coach: Stefan Leitl

Preußen Münster

4-3-1-2
1 J. Schenk G
27 J. ter Horst D
22 J. Heuer D
3 P. Jaeckel D
25 L. Bolay D
10 M. Schulz M
21 R. Preissinger M
20 J. Hendrix M
17 O. Batista Meier M
11 O. Vilhelmsson F
13 L. Lokotsch F
Bench (9)
26 M. Behrens
2 M. Kirkeskov
15 S. Scherder
28 M. Meyerhofer
5 Y. Bouchama
7 Z. Sertdemir
14 C. Makridis
23 M. Batmaz
30 E. Amenyido

Coach: Alexander Ende

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,02
U
3,58
B
3,28
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,70
U2,5
2,05
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.