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Ligue 2

Referee: B Roffet

Rodez

U U U T U

1–0

Full-time

Boulogne

T T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rodez Boulogne

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,8

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,7

3,3

Scored

1,0

1,3

Conceded

1,7

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,7

This season — Ligue 2 · 3/2 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,7

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 17%

33%

Both score Ø 17%

33%

Average goals

2,0

1,0

Scored

0,3

0,0

Conceded

1,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,3

-1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

40% Possession 60%

12 Shots 21

4 Shots on target 7

2 Blocked shots 4

6 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 4

4 Offside 0

15 Free kicks against 8

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Rodez 14. · Boulogne 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Etienne	3	2	1	0	+5	7
2	Pau FC	3	2	1	0	+4	7
3	Nancy	3	2	1	0	+3	7
4	Troyes	3	2	1	0	+2	7
5	Clermont	3	1	2	0	+1	5
6	Red Star	3	1	1	1	+2	4
7	Amiens	3	1	1	1	+1	4
8	Le Mans	3	1	1	1	+0	4
9	Montpellier	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Reims	3	1	1	1	-1	4
11	Annecy	3	1	1	1	-1	4
12	Laval	3	0	3	0	+0	3
13	Dunkerque	3	0	2	1	-2	2
14	Rodez	3	0	2	1	-4	2
15	Bastia	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Grenoble	3	0	1	2	-2	1
17	Guingamp	3	0	1	2	-5	1
18	Boulogne	2	0	0	2	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Pau FC	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Troyes	2	2	0	0	+2	6
3	Clermont	2	1	1	0	+1	4
4	St Etienne	1	1	0	0	+4	3
5	Reims	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Nancy	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Le Mans	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	Rodez	2	0	2	0	+0	2
9	Laval	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Annecy	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Montpellier	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Bastia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Grenoble	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Amiens	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Dunkerque	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Guingamp	2	0	1	1	-4	1
17	Boulogne	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Red Star	1	0	0	1	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Red Star	2	1	1	0	+4	4
2	Nancy	2	1	1	0	+2	4
3	St Etienne	2	1	1	0	+1	4
4	Amiens	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Montpellier	2	1	0	1	+0	3
6	Annecy	2	1	0	1	-1	3
7	Laval	2	0	2	0	+0	2
8	Le Mans	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Clermont	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Dunkerque	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Pau FC	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Troyes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Reims	2	0	1	1	-2	1
14	Guingamp	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Bastia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Boulogne	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Grenoble	2	0	0	2	-2	0
18	Rodez	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.