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Ekstraklasa

Referee: Sebastian Krasny

Radomiak Radom

T T S T U

3–1

Full-time

Zaglebie

U S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Radomiak Radom Zaglebie

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,8

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,2

3,3

Scored

1,2

2,2

Conceded

2,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ekstraklasa · 10/9 matches

Win Ø 32%

30%

33%

Points per game

1,2

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 74%

70%

78%

Both score Ø 79%

80%

78%

Average goals

3,5

3,7

Scored

1,7

2,2

Conceded

1,8

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,1

+0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

1,86 xG 1,60

50% Possession 50%

17 Shots 18

5 Shots on target 7

3 Blocked shots 3

6 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 6

1 Offside 4

11 Free kicks against 13

0 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Radomiak Radom 11. · Zaglebie 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Gornik Zabrze	10	6	1	3	+7	-0.2	19
2	Cracovia	9	5	3	1	+7	+2.5	18
3	Korona Kielce	10	5	3	2	+7	-2.1	18
4	Wisla Plock	10	5	3	2	+5	+6.3	18
5	Jagiellonia	9	5	3	1	+4	-2.5	18
6	Legia	9	4	3	2	+6	+3.6	15
7	Lech Poznan	9	4	3	2	+1	+6.0	15
8	Zaglebie	9	3	4	2	+7	-1.8	13
9	Widzew Lodz	11	4	1	6	+2	+3.2	13
10	Pogon Szczecin	11	4	1	6	-4	+6.2	13
11	Radomiak Radom	10	3	3	4	-1	-0.1	12
12	Lechia Gdansk	11	3	3	5	-7	-3.0	12
13	Motor Lublin	9	2	5	2	-3	-1.0	11
14	Rakow	9	3	2	4	-3	-0.3	11
15	Nieciecza	11	2	3	6	-6	-1.2	9
16	Arka Gdynia	10	2	3	5	-9	-3.8	9
17	GKS Katowice	10	2	2	6	-10	-6.8	8
18	Piast Gliwice	9	1	4	4	-3	-4.8	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Wisla Plock	6	4	1	1	+5	+5.2	13
2	Korona Kielce	5	4	0	1	+7	+0.0	12
3	Legia	5	3	2	0	+6	+2.3	11
4	Cracovia	5	3	2	0	+4	+2.6	11
5	Radomiak Radom	5	3	1	1	+6	+1.2	10
6	Widzew Lodz	6	3	1	2	+4	+1.1	10
7	Zaglebie	5	2	3	0	+8	+1.2	9
8	Gornik Zabrze	5	3	0	2	+3	+1.4	9
9	Pogon Szczecin	5	3	0	2	+2	+4.5	9
10	Jagiellonia	4	3	0	1	+2	-2.5	9
11	Lechia Gdansk	5	2	2	1	+2	+1.1	8
12	Arka Gdynia	4	2	2	0	+2	-1.8	8
13	Lech Poznan	6	2	2	2	-2	+4.2	8
14	GKS Katowice	5	2	1	2	+0	-3.0	7
15	Motor Lublin	4	1	3	0	+1	+0.9	6
16	Piast Gliwice	4	1	2	1	+1	+0.1	5
17	Rakow	4	0	2	2	-2	-1.1	2
18	Nieciecza	5	0	1	4	-7	-0.7	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Gornik Zabrze	5	3	1	1	+4	-1.7	10
2	Jagiellonia	5	2	3	0	+2	–	9
3	Rakow	5	3	0	2	-1	+0.8	9
4	Nieciecza	6	2	2	2	+1	-0.5	8
5	Cracovia	4	2	1	1	+3	-0.0	7
6	Lech Poznan	3	2	1	0	+3	+1.8	7
7	Korona Kielce	5	1	3	1	+0	-2.2	6
8	Wisla Plock	4	1	2	1	+0	+1.1	5
9	Motor Lublin	5	1	2	2	-4	-1.9	5
10	Legia	4	1	1	2	+0	+1.2	4
11	Zaglebie	4	1	1	2	-1	-3.0	4
12	Pogon Szczecin	6	1	1	4	-6	+1.6	4
13	Lechia Gdansk	6	1	1	4	-9	-4.2	4
14	Widzew Lodz	5	1	0	4	-2	+2.1	3
15	Piast Gliwice	5	0	2	3	-4	-5.0	2
16	Radomiak Radom	5	0	2	3	-7	-1.3	2
17	GKS Katowice	5	0	1	4	-10	-3.9	1
18	Arka Gdynia	6	0	1	5	-11	-2.0	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.