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Premiership

Referee: N Walsh

Kilmarnock

U U U T S

2–0

Full-time

St Mirren

U U U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kilmarnock St Mirren

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

1,2

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

67%

17%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,8

1,5

Scored

1,5

0,8

Conceded

1,3

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,2

This season — Premiership · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

1,2

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

67%

17%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,8

1,5

Scored

1,5

0,8

Conceded

1,3

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

37% Possession 63%

9 Shots 7

5 Shots on target 0

1 Blocked shots 5

0 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 9

0 Offside 3

8 Free kicks against 21

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Kilmarnock 7. · St Mirren 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hearts	6	5	1	0	+9	+0.8	16
2	Celtic	6	4	2	0	+7	+2.5	14
3	St Mirren	6	2	3	1	+1	-1.5	9
4	Motherwell	6	1	5	0	+2	+1.8	8
5	Dundee United	6	2	2	2	+1	-1.0	8
6	Hibernian	6	1	5	0	+1	+1.1	8
7	Kilmarnock	6	1	4	1	+1	-0.1	7
8	Rangers	6	1	4	1	-1	-0.9	7
9	Dundee	7	1	3	3	-3	-2.0	6
10	Livingston	7	1	2	4	-4	+0.6	5
11	Falkirk	6	1	2	3	-5	-0.7	5
12	Aberdeen	6	0	1	5	-9	-0.6	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hearts	3	2	1	0	+5	-0.1	7
2	Celtic	3	2	1	0	+4	+1.8	7
3	Motherwell	3	1	2	0	+2	+2.0	5
4	St Mirren	3	1	2	0	+1	+0.2	5
5	Dundee	4	1	1	2	-2	-0.8	4
6	Hibernian	3	0	3	0	+0	+0.3	3
7	Livingston	3	1	0	2	+0	+0.8	3
8	Dundee United	3	1	0	2	-1	-0.9	3
9	Falkirk	3	0	2	1	-1	+0.1	2
10	Kilmarnock	3	0	2	1	-1	+0.2	2
11	Rangers	3	0	2	1	-2	+1.2	2
12	Aberdeen	3	0	1	2	-3	-0.7	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hearts	3	3	0	0	+4	+0.9	9
2	Celtic	3	2	1	0	+3	+0.7	7
3	Dundee United	3	1	2	0	+2	-0.1	5
4	Kilmarnock	3	1	2	0	+2	-0.3	5
5	Hibernian	3	1	2	0	+1	+0.8	5
6	Rangers	3	1	2	0	+1	-2.0	5
7	St Mirren	3	1	1	1	+0	-1.8	4
8	Motherwell	3	0	3	0	+0	-0.2	3
9	Falkirk	3	1	0	2	-4	-0.8	3
10	Dundee	3	0	2	1	-1	-1.2	2
11	Livingston	4	0	2	2	-4	-0.2	2
12	Aberdeen	3	0	0	3	-6	+0.1	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.