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Ligue 2

Referee: Alexandre Perreau Niel

Boulogne

T T S T S

1–2

Full-time

Red Star

S S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Boulogne Red Star

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,0

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,2

2,8

Scored

0,8

1,8

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,8

This season — Ligue 2 · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 43%

29%

57%

Points per game

0,9

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

43%

57%

Both score Ø 36%

29%

43%

Average goals

2,0

2,7

Scored

0,7

1,7

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,6

+0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

45% Possession 55%

16 Shots 8

6 Shots on target 5

6 Blocked shots 0

3 Goalkeeper saves 5

7 Corners 3

4 Offside 3

10 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Boulogne 17. · Red Star 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Troyes	8	6	1	1	+10	19
2	St Etienne	8	5	2	1	+7	17
3	Pau FC	8	5	2	1	+6	17
4	Reims	8	4	2	2	+3	14
5	Red Star	7	4	1	2	+5	13
6	Guingamp	8	4	1	3	-3	13
7	Montpellier	8	3	2	3	+0	11
8	Nancy	8	3	2	3	-1	11
9	Rodez	8	3	2	3	-3	11
10	Clermont	8	2	4	2	-2	10
11	Dunkerque	8	2	3	3	+2	9
12	Amiens	8	2	3	3	-1	9
13	Le Mans	8	2	3	3	-1	9
14	Annecy	8	2	2	4	-3	8
15	Laval	8	1	4	3	-4	7
16	Grenoble	8	1	3	4	-4	6
17	Boulogne	7	2	0	5	-4	6
18	Bastia	8	0	3	5	-7	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Troyes	5	5	0	0	+10	15
2	Reims	3	3	0	0	+5	9
3	Pau FC	4	3	0	1	+2	9
4	Dunkerque	5	2	2	1	+4	8
5	St Etienne	4	2	1	1	+4	7
6	Guingamp	4	2	1	1	-2	7
7	Le Mans	4	2	0	2	+0	6
8	Montpellier	4	1	2	1	+0	5
9	Clermont	4	1	2	1	+0	5
10	Grenoble	4	1	2	1	-1	5
11	Rodez	5	1	2	2	-1	5
12	Nancy	4	1	1	2	-1	4
13	Red Star	3	1	0	2	-3	3
14	Boulogne	4	1	0	3	-4	3
15	Annecy	3	0	2	1	-1	2
16	Amiens	4	0	2	2	-2	2
17	Laval	4	0	2	2	-4	2
18	Bastia	3	0	1	2	-3	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Red Star	4	3	1	0	+8	10
2	St Etienne	4	3	1	0	+3	10
3	Pau FC	4	2	2	0	+4	8
4	Amiens	4	2	1	1	+1	7
5	Nancy	4	2	1	1	+0	7
6	Montpellier	4	2	0	2	+0	6
7	Guingamp	4	2	0	2	-1	6
8	Annecy	5	2	0	3	-2	6
9	Rodez	3	2	0	1	-2	6
10	Laval	4	1	2	1	+0	5
11	Reims	5	1	2	2	-2	5
12	Clermont	4	1	2	1	-2	5
13	Troyes	3	1	1	1	+0	4
14	Boulogne	3	1	0	2	+0	3
15	Le Mans	4	0	3	1	-1	3
16	Bastia	5	0	2	3	-4	2
17	Dunkerque	3	0	1	2	-2	1
18	Grenoble	4	0	1	3	-3	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.