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Ligue 2
Referee: M Lesage
Guingamp
S U S S S
4–0
Full-time
Pau FC
T T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Guingamp Pau FC
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
83%
33%
Points per game
2,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 92%
100%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,7
3,5
Scored
2,5
1,3
Conceded
1,2
2,2
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

62% Possession 38%
11 Shots 10
7 Shots on target 5
0 Blocked shots 1
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 3
0 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 18
1 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

19. Apr -22 Guingamp – Pau FC 3–0 20. Nov -21 Pau FC – Guingamp 2–0 30. Jan -21 Guingamp – Pau FC 2–3 19. Sep -20 Pau FC – Guingamp 0–1

Match report

Guingamp Pau FC
1–0 J. Livolant ⚽
T. Luvambo
22′
29′
🟨 Antoine Batisse
2–0 J. Gaudin ⚽
32′
3–0 M. Merghem ⚽
34′
44′
🟨 Mayron George
Half-time 3–0
46′
🔁 J. Ruiz
↦ David Gomis
46′
🔁 M. Bassouamina
↦ J. Evans
4–0 J. Gaudin ⚽
T. Luvambo
52′
55′
🟨 Steeve Beusnard
Y. Cathline 🔁
↦ B. Guillaume
56′
57′
🟨 Xavier Kouassi
60′
🔁 Nguyễn Quang Hải
↦ E. Sylvestre
Dylan Louiserre 🟨
62′
68′
🟨 Abzi Diyaeddine
68′
🔁 N. Sow
↦ S. Beusnard
M. Barthelmé 🔁
↦ J. Livolant
74′
V. Manceau 🔁
↦ T. Luvambo
74′
80′
🔁 W. Jarmouni
↦ M. George
T. Le Normand 🔁
↦ T. Muyumba
83′
M. Baaloudj 🔁
↦ M. Merghem
84′
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Guingamp

3-4-2-1
16 E. Basilio G
7 D. Gomis D
19 F. Eboa Eboa D
2 B. Roux D
23 T. Luvambo M
4 D. Louiserre M
6 T. Muyumba M
25 J. Gaudin M
10 M. Merghem F
29 J. Livolant F
21 B. Guillaume F
Bench (7)
20 Y. Cathline
28 M. Barthelmé
15 V. Manceau
17 T. Le Normand
22 M. Baaloudj
30 D. Youfeigane
3 A. Vitelli

Coach: S. Dumont

Pau FC

4-2-3-1
1 A. Olliero G
7 E. Koffi D
4 X. Kouassi D
17 A. Batisse D
2 D. Abzi D
6 S. D'Almeida M
21 S. Beusnard M
8 David Gomis M
12 E. Sylvestre M
26 J. Evans M
9 M. George F
Bench (7)
25 J. Ruiz
11 M. Bassouamina
19 Nguyễn Quang Hải
5 N. Sow
22 W. Jarmouni
16 M. Ndiaye
15 M. Ros

Coach: D. Tholot

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,69
🔒
U
3,62
🔒
B
5,06
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
2,06
🔒
U2,5
1,73
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

M Lesage · 143 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.