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Ligue 2

Referee: K Abed

Ajaccio

U S T S U

1–1

Full-time

Pau FC

T U S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ajaccio Pau FC

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

2,5

2,8

Scored

1,2

1,0

Conceded

1,3

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,8

This season — Ligue 2 · 30/30 matches

Win Ø 34%

37%

30%

Points per game

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 43%

43%

Both score Ø 42%

37%

47%

Average goals

2,1

2,6

Scored

0,9

1,1

Conceded

1,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

55% Possession 45%

15 Shots 13

6 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

9 Corners 3

1 Offside 1

12 Free kicks against 10

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ajaccio 10. · Pau FC 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lorient	30	20	4	6	+30	64
2	Paris FC	30	19	4	7	+19	61
3	Metz	30	17	9	4	+30	60
4	Dunkerque	30	16	3	11	+6	51
5	Guingamp	30	15	3	12	+10	48
6	Bastia	30	10	14	6	+7	44
7	Annecy	30	12	8	10	-4	44
8	Laval	30	12	7	11	+5	43
9	Grenoble	30	11	7	12	+0	40
10	Ajaccio	30	11	5	14	-9	38
11	Pau FC	30	9	11	10	-11	38
12	Amiens	30	11	4	15	-13	37
13	Rodez	30	9	9	12	+3	36
14	Troyes	30	10	5	15	+0	35
15	Red Star	30	9	7	14	-14	34
16	Clermont	30	6	10	14	-15	28
17	Martigues	30	8	4	18	-25	28
18	Caen	30	5	6	19	-19	21

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lorient	15	13	1	1	+29	40
2	Paris FC	15	11	2	2	+15	35
3	Metz	15	10	4	1	+22	34
4	Dunkerque	15	11	0	4	+12	33
5	Bastia	15	8	7	0	+15	31
6	Amiens	15	9	2	4	+3	29
7	Guingamp	15	8	2	5	+13	26
8	Grenoble	16	7	5	4	+6	26
9	Ajaccio	15	8	2	5	+4	26
10	Pau FC	15	7	5	3	+2	26
11	Annecy	14	7	3	4	+4	24
12	Laval	14	6	3	5	+5	21
13	Rodez	15	6	3	6	+2	21
14	Red Star	15	6	3	6	-3	21
15	Troyes	15	5	4	6	+3	19
16	Clermont	15	2	8	5	-1	14
17	Caen	15	3	4	8	-6	13
18	Martigues	16	3	2	11	-14	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Metz	15	7	5	3	+8	26
2	Paris FC	15	8	2	5	+4	26
3	Lorient	15	7	3	5	+1	24
4	Laval	16	6	4	6	+0	22
5	Guingamp	15	7	1	7	-3	22
6	Annecy	16	5	5	6	-8	20
7	Dunkerque	15	5	3	7	-6	18
8	Martigues	14	5	2	7	-11	17
9	Troyes	15	5	1	9	-3	16
10	Rodez	15	3	6	6	+1	15
11	Grenoble	14	4	2	8	-6	14
12	Clermont	15	4	2	9	-14	14
13	Bastia	15	2	7	6	-8	13
14	Red Star	15	3	4	8	-11	13
15	Pau FC	15	2	6	7	-13	12
16	Ajaccio	15	3	3	9	-13	12
17	Caen	15	2	2	11	-13	8
18	Amiens	15	2	2	11	-16	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.