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Ligue 2
Referee: G Kubler
Amiens
U T S S T
4–2
Full-time
Pau FC
S T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Amiens Pau FC
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,5
3,2
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,5
This season — Ligue 2 · 32/32 matches
Win Ø 35%
38%
31%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 49%
53%
44%
Both score Ø 49%
47%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,6
Scored
1,1
1,1
Conceded
1,5
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–1

41% Possession 59%
8 Shots 18
7 Shots on target 7
0 Blocked shots 3
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 5
6 Offside 3
8 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Amiens 12. · Pau FC 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lorient 32 21 5 6 +34 68
2 Paris FC 32 20 5 7 +20 65
3 Metz 32 17 10 5 +29 61
4 Dunkerque 32 17 3 12 +7 54
5 Guingamp 32 16 3 13 +10 51
6 Laval 32 14 7 11 +7 49
7 Annecy 32 13 9 10 -2 48
8 Bastia 32 10 14 8 +5 44
9 Grenoble 32 12 7 13 -1 43
10 Pau FC 32 10 12 10 -10 42
11 Troyes 32 12 5 15 +3 41
12 Amiens 32 12 4 16 -13 40
13 Ajaccio 32 11 6 15 -11 39
14 Rodez 32 9 10 13 +2 37
15 Red Star 32 9 9 14 -14 36
16 Martigues 32 9 4 19 -23 31
17 Clermont 32 6 11 15 -17 29
18 Caen 32 5 6 21 -26 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Amiens Pau FC
1–0 L. Mafouta
A. Léautey
7′
2–0 A. Léautey
M. Mbaye
17′
3–0 L. Mafouta
M. Mbaye
24′
33′
T. Koudou 3–1
Half-time 3–1
46′
🔁 K. Diawara
↦ T. Gomes
47′
🟨 Ousmane Kanté
60′
🔁 O. Ngom
↦ J. Lopy
60′
🔁 M. Bangré
↦ T. Arconte
60′
🔁 J. Ruiz
↦ O. Kanté
67′
M. Bangré 3–2
K. Kouassi 🔁
↦ R. Lutin
68′
Louis Mafouta 🟨
70′
J. Tincrès 🔁
↦ L. Mafouta
74′
77′
🔁 J. Obiang
↦ J. Kalulu
4–2 M. Mbaye
A. Léautey
86′
M. Tine 🔁
↦ A. Léautey
91′
P. Carraro Injai 🔁
↦ M. Mbaye
91′
A. Chibozo 🔁
↦ S. Corchia
91′
Full-time 4–2

Line-ups

Amiens

4-4-2
1 R. Gurtner G
14 S. Corchia D
34 S. Bakayoko D
37 T. Monconduit D
19 R. Vita D
11 M. Mbaye M
8 V. Lobry M
45 I. Fofana M
7 A. Léautey M
27 R. Lutin F
9 L. Mafouta F
Bench (7)
41 K. Kouassi
78 J. Tincrès
58 M. Tine
42 P. Carraro Injai
17 A. Chibozo
39 A. Chabane
16 A. Sauvage

Coach: O. Daf

Pau FC

4-4-2
55 M. Jeannin G
2 T. Koudou D
19 O. Kanté D
97 D. Meddah D
3 J. Kalulu D
17 A. Mille M
21 S. Beusnard M
8 J. Lopy M
9 P. Mboup M
7 T. Arconte F
20 T. Gomes F
Bench (7)
18 K. Diawara
6 O. Ngom
27 M. Bangré
25 J. Ruiz
23 J. Obiang
1 B. Kamara
4 X. Kouassi

Coach: N. Usaï

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,02
U
3,61
B
2,18
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,66
U2,5
2,17
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

G Kubler · 38 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.