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Ligue 2
Referee: M Lesage
Dunkerque
S T T T T
3–1
Full-time
Guingamp
T T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dunkerque Guingamp
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
4,5
2,8
Scored
1,7
1,5
Conceded
2,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+0,2
This season — Ligue 2 · 28/28 matches
Win Ø 54%
54%
54%
Points per game
1,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
43%
57%
Both score Ø 47%
50%
43%
Average goals
2,8
2,8
Scored
1,5
1,6
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

46% Possession 54%
12 Shots 8
6 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 4
2 Offside 5
15 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Dunkerque 5. · Guingamp 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lorient 29 19 4 6 +29 61
2 Paris FC 29 18 4 7 +18 58
3 Metz 29 16 9 4 +27 57
4 Guingamp 28 15 3 10 +13 48
5 Dunkerque 28 15 3 10 +5 48
6 Laval 29 12 7 10 +8 43
7 Bastia 29 9 14 6 +4 41
8 Annecy 29 11 8 10 -5 41
9 Grenoble 29 11 7 11 +1 40
10 Ajaccio 29 11 4 14 -9 37
11 Pau FC 29 9 10 10 -11 37
12 Rodez 29 9 8 12 +3 35
13 Troyes 29 10 4 15 +0 34
14 Red Star 29 9 7 13 -13 34
15 Amiens 29 10 4 15 -14 34
16 Martigues 29 8 4 17 -22 28
17 Clermont 29 6 9 14 -15 27
18 Caen 29 5 5 19 -19 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Dunkerque Guingamp
14′
🟨 Théo Le Bris
Alec Georgen 🟨
41′
Half-time 0–0
47′
🔁 R. Ghrieb
↦ A. Hemia
51′
🟨 Lenny Vallier
A. Ba 🔁
↦ Muhannad Al Saad
64′
1–0 G. Yassine
Abner
69′
75′
🟥 Donatien Gomis
75′
🔁 A. Sagna
↦ T. Le Bris
75′
🔁 S. Guendouz
↦ H. Picard
A. Pitu 🔁
↦ Diogo Queirós
81′
Y. Bammou 🔁
↦ G. Yassine
81′
82′
🔁 M. Riou
↦ J. Siwe
82′
🔁 T. Luvambo
↦ D. Louiserre
2–0 A. Ba
82′
87′
Severin Sabri Guendouz
penalty missed
Abdoullah Ba 🟨
88′
M. Essimi 🔁
↦ G. Courtet
89′
96′
Y. Bammou 3–0
own goal
4–0 M. Essimi
A. Ba
97′
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Dunkerque

4-1-4-1
1 E. Jaouen G
2 A. Georgen D
26 Opa Sanganté D
4 N. Fernandez-Veliz D
30 Abner D
5 Diogo Queirós M
77 Muhannad Al Saad M
22 N. Skyttä M
20 E. Bardeli M
80 G. Yassine M
18 G. Courtet F
Bench (7)
31 A. Ba
11 A. Pitu
19 Y. Bammou
10 M. Essimi
24 I. Koné
27 A. Linguet
25 Núrio Fortuna

Coach: Luís Castro

Guingamp

4-4-2
16 E. Basilio G
2 L. Maronnier D
7 D. Gomis D
18 S. Nair D
6 L. Vallier D
28 T. Le Bris M
4 D. Louiserre M
8 K. Sidibé M
10 H. Picard M
13 A. Hemia F
17 J. Siwe F
Bench (7)
21 R. Ghrieb
11 A. Sagna
19 S. Guendouz
26 M. Riou
23 T. Luvambo
30 B. Niasse
5 L. Phiri

Coach: S. Ripoll

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,33
U
3,10
B
3,17
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,00
U2,5
1,77
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Lesage · 143 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.