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Ligue 2

Referee: R Chapapria

Pau FC

S T U S T

2–2

Full-time

Clermont

T T U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Pau FC Clermont

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,3

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,8

2,0

Scored

1,0

0,3

Conceded

1,8

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-1,3

This season — Ligue 2 · 29/29 matches

Win Ø 26%

31%

21%

Points per game

1,3

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 36%

41%

31%

Both score Ø 45%

45%

Average goals

2,5

2,1

Scored

1,1

0,8

Conceded

1,4

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,4

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

51% Possession 49%

22 Shots 7

11 Shots on target 3

7 Blocked shots 3

0 Goalkeeper saves 9

7 Corners 5

2 Offside 3

14 Free kicks against 13

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Pau FC 11. · Clermont 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lorient	29	19	4	6	+29	61
2	Paris FC	29	18	4	7	+18	58
3	Metz	29	16	9	4	+27	57
4	Dunkerque	29	16	3	10	+7	51
5	Guingamp	29	15	3	11	+11	48
6	Laval	29	12	7	10	+8	43
7	Bastia	29	9	14	6	+4	41
8	Annecy	29	11	8	10	-5	41
9	Grenoble	29	11	7	11	+1	40
10	Ajaccio	29	11	4	14	-9	37
11	Pau FC	29	9	10	10	-11	37
12	Rodez	29	9	8	12	+3	35
13	Troyes	29	10	4	15	+0	34
14	Red Star	29	9	7	13	-13	34
15	Amiens	29	10	4	15	-14	34
16	Martigues	29	8	4	17	-22	28
17	Clermont	29	6	9	14	-15	27
18	Caen	29	5	5	19	-19	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lorient	15	13	1	1	+29	40
2	Paris FC	15	11	2	2	+15	35
3	Metz	15	10	4	1	+22	34
4	Dunkerque	15	11	0	4	+12	33
5	Bastia	14	7	7	0	+12	28
6	Guingamp	14	8	2	4	+14	26
7	Grenoble	15	7	5	3	+7	26
8	Ajaccio	15	8	2	5	+4	26
9	Amiens	14	8	2	4	+2	26
10	Pau FC	14	7	4	3	+2	25
11	Annecy	14	7	3	4	+4	24
12	Laval	14	6	3	5	+5	21
13	Red Star	14	6	3	5	-2	21
14	Rodez	14	6	2	6	+2	20
15	Troyes	14	5	3	6	+3	18
16	Clermont	15	2	8	5	-1	14
17	Caen	15	3	4	8	-6	13
18	Martigues	15	3	2	10	-11	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Metz	14	6	5	3	+5	23
2	Paris FC	14	7	2	5	+3	23
3	Laval	15	6	4	5	+3	22
4	Guingamp	15	7	1	7	-3	22
5	Lorient	14	6	3	5	+0	21
6	Dunkerque	14	5	3	6	-5	18
7	Annecy	15	4	5	6	-9	17
8	Martigues	14	5	2	7	-11	17
9	Troyes	15	5	1	9	-3	16
10	Rodez	15	3	6	6	+1	15
11	Grenoble	14	4	2	8	-6	14
12	Bastia	15	2	7	6	-8	13
13	Red Star	15	3	4	8	-11	13
14	Clermont	14	4	1	9	-14	13
15	Pau FC	15	2	6	7	-13	12
16	Ajaccio	14	3	2	9	-13	11
17	Amiens	15	2	2	11	-16	8
18	Caen	14	2	1	11	-13	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.