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Ligue 2

Referee: G Paradis

Bastia

U U T S S

1–1

Full-time

Le Havre

U S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bastia Le Havre

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,8

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

67%

17%

Both score Ø 50%

83%

17%

Average goals

3,5

1,3

Scored

2,3

0,7

Conceded

1,2

0,7

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+0,0

This season — Ligue 2 · 36/36 matches

Win Ø 50%

47%

53%

Points per game

1,6

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 31%

36%

25%

Both score Ø 39%

42%

36%

Average goals

2,5

1,7

Scored

1,4

1,2

Conceded

1,1

0,5

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

46% Possession 54%

9 Shots 5

2 Shots on target 2

3 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

7 Corners 4

0 Offside 2

18 Free kicks against 17

4 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Bastia 4. · Le Havre 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Le Havre	36	19	14	3	+26	71
2	Bordeaux	36	20	9	7	+25	69
3	Metz	36	18	12	6	+26	66
4	Bastia	36	17	8	11	+8	59
5	Caen	36	16	10	10	+10	58
6	Sochaux	36	15	7	14	+16	52
7	St Etienne	36	14	10	12	+4	52
8	Paris FC	36	14	9	13	+1	51
9	Grenoble	36	14	9	13	+0	51
10	Guingamp	36	13	10	13	+1	49
11	Quevilly Rouen	36	12	13	11	+0	49
12	Amiens	36	12	8	16	-13	44
13	Rodez	36	10	13	13	-5	43
14	Valenciennes	36	9	15	12	-6	42
15	Annecy	36	10	12	14	-12	42
16	Dijon	36	10	11	15	-4	41
17	Pau FC	36	10	11	15	-14	41
18	Laval	36	12	4	20	-15	40
19	Nimes	36	9	6	21	-18	33
20	Niort	36	7	7	22	-30	28

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bordeaux	18	12	4	2	+19	40
2	Caen	18	11	5	2	+16	38
3	Le Havre	18	10	7	1	+13	37
4	Bastia	18	11	3	4	+11	36
5	Metz	18	9	7	2	+12	34
6	Grenoble	18	9	5	4	+5	32
7	Sochaux	18	9	4	5	+14	31
8	St Etienne	18	9	4	5	+5	31
9	Annecy	18	8	4	6	-1	28
10	Quevilly Rouen	18	6	9	3	+6	27
11	Dijon	18	7	6	5	+4	27
12	Amiens	18	8	3	7	-1	27
13	Valenciennes	18	5	11	2	+3	26
14	Nimes	18	8	2	8	+2	26
15	Laval	18	8	2	8	+1	26
16	Paris FC	18	7	3	8	+1	24
17	Guingamp	18	6	4	8	+0	22
18	Pau FC	18	5	6	7	-8	21
19	Rodez	18	4	7	7	-8	19
20	Niort	18	5	3	10	-12	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Le Havre	18	9	7	2	+13	34
2	Metz	18	9	5	4	+14	32
3	Bordeaux	18	8	5	5	+6	29
4	Guingamp	18	7	6	5	+1	27
5	Paris FC	18	7	6	5	+0	27
6	Rodez	18	6	6	6	+3	24
7	Bastia	18	6	5	7	-3	23
8	Quevilly Rouen	18	6	4	8	-6	22
9	Sochaux	18	6	3	9	+2	21
10	St Etienne	18	5	6	7	-1	21
11	Caen	18	5	5	8	-6	20
12	Pau FC	18	5	5	8	-6	20
13	Grenoble	18	5	4	9	-5	19
14	Amiens	18	4	5	9	-12	17
15	Valenciennes	18	4	4	10	-9	16
16	Dijon	18	3	5	10	-8	14
17	Annecy	18	2	8	8	-11	14
18	Laval	18	4	2	12	-16	14
19	Niort	18	2	4	12	-18	10
20	Nimes	18	1	4	13	-20	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.