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Ligue 2

Guingamp

S T S S U

2–1

Full-time

Caen

S S U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Guingamp Caen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,2

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

83%

33%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

4,0

2,7

Scored

2,5

1,7

Conceded

1,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,7

This season — Ligue 2 · 35/35 matches

Win Ø 34%

34%

Points per game

1,4

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 43%

46%

40%

Both score Ø 56%

60%

51%

Average goals

2,6

2,5

Scored

1,3

1,4

Conceded

1,3

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

25 Shots 8

9 Shots on target 6

6 Corners 3

15 Free kicks against 19

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Guingamp 7. · Caen 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Toulouse	35	22	10	3	+50	76
2	Auxerre	36	19	11	6	+20	68
3	Ajaccio	35	20	8	7	+18	68
4	Sochaux	35	18	10	7	+13	64
5	Paris FC	35	18	9	8	+16	63
6	Le Havre	35	13	11	11	+0	50
7	Guingamp	35	12	13	10	+0	49
8	Caen	35	12	11	12	+10	47
9	Nimes	35	13	7	15	-6	46
10	Niort	35	12	9	14	+0	45
11	Amiens	35	9	16	10	+4	43
12	Bastia	35	9	16	10	+2	43
13	Dijon	35	12	7	16	-6	43
14	Pau FC	35	12	6	17	-10	42
15	Grenoble	35	12	6	17	-10	42
16	Valenciennes	35	8	13	14	-15	37
17	Quevilly Rouen	35	9	10	16	-16	37
18	Rodez	35	7	13	15	-14	34
19	Dunkerque	36	8	7	21	-21	31
20	Nancy	35	5	9	21	-35	24

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Toulouse	18	13	4	1	+37	43
2	Paris FC	17	10	6	1	+15	36
3	Ajaccio	17	11	3	3	+11	36
4	Auxerre	18	10	4	4	+13	34
5	Sochaux	17	9	5	3	+7	32
6	Pau FC	18	10	1	7	+5	31
7	Amiens	18	7	6	5	+11	27
8	Caen	18	8	3	7	+10	27
9	Bastia	18	5	12	1	+8	27
10	Guingamp	17	7	6	4	+5	27
11	Dijon	18	8	3	7	+0	27
12	Niort	17	7	5	5	+7	26
13	Grenoble	17	7	3	7	+0	24
14	Le Havre	18	6	5	7	-2	23
15	Nimes	18	6	4	8	-4	22
16	Dunkerque	18	5	6	7	-5	21
17	Quevilly Rouen	17	4	7	6	-5	19
18	Rodez	17	3	9	5	-3	18
19	Valenciennes	18	4	5	9	-10	17
20	Nancy	17	4	4	9	-14	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Auxerre	18	9	7	2	+7	34
2	Toulouse	17	9	6	2	+13	33
3	Ajaccio	18	9	5	4	+7	32
4	Sochaux	18	9	5	4	+6	32
5	Le Havre	17	7	6	4	+2	27
6	Paris FC	18	8	3	7	+1	27
7	Nimes	17	7	3	7	-2	24
8	Guingamp	18	5	7	6	-5	22
9	Caen	17	4	8	5	+0	20
10	Valenciennes	17	4	8	5	-5	20
11	Niort	18	5	4	9	-7	19
12	Grenoble	18	5	3	10	-10	18
13	Quevilly Rouen	18	5	3	10	-11	18
14	Dijon	17	4	4	9	-6	16
15	Bastia	17	4	4	9	-6	16
16	Amiens	17	2	10	5	-7	16
17	Rodez	18	4	4	10	-11	16
18	Pau FC	17	2	5	10	-15	11
19	Dunkerque	18	3	1	14	-16	10
20	Nancy	18	1	5	12	-21	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.