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2. Bundesliga

Darmstadt

T S T T S

6–0

Full-time

Erzgebirge Aue

T T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Darmstadt Erzgebirge Aue

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,2

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

3,5

3,7

Scored

1,5

1,2

Conceded

2,0

2,5

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-1,3

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 31/31 matches

Win Ø 34%

52%

16%

Points per game

1,7

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

65%

61%

Both score Ø 57%

58%

55%

Average goals

3,4

3,0

Scored

2,0

1,0

Conceded

1,4

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-1,0

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 4–0

19 Shots 3

9 Shots on target 0

12 Corners 2

6 Free kicks against 8

0 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Darmstadt 4. · Erzgebirge Aue 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Schalke 04	32	18	5	9	+26	59
2	Werder Bremen	32	16	9	7	+17	57
3	Hamburg	32	14	12	6	+30	54
4	Darmstadt	31	16	6	9	+17	54
5	St Pauli	32	15	9	8	+14	54
6	Nurnberg	32	14	9	9	+4	51
7	Paderborn	32	12	12	8	+13	48
8	Heidenheim	32	13	7	12	-6	46
9	Holstein Kiel	32	11	9	12	-9	42
10	Fortuna Dusseldorf	32	10	11	11	+4	41
11	Regensburg	32	10	10	12	+3	40
12	Karlsruhe	32	9	13	10	+1	40
13	Hansa Rostock	32	10	10	12	-10	40
14	Hannover	32	10	9	13	-14	39
15	Sandhausen	32	9	11	12	-12	38
16	Dresden	32	7	10	15	-12	31
17	Erzgebirge Aue	31	5	8	18	-32	23
18	Ingolstadt	32	4	8	20	-34	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Pauli	16	10	4	2	+18	34
2	Heidenheim	16	9	4	3	+7	31
3	Hamburg	16	8	6	2	+18	30
4	Schalke 04	16	9	2	5	+12	29
5	Darmstadt	15	8	3	4	+10	27
6	Werder Bremen	16	7	6	3	+10	27
7	Nurnberg	16	8	3	5	+4	27
8	Holstein Kiel	16	7	3	6	-3	24
9	Karlsruhe	16	5	8	3	+6	23
10	Regensburg	16	6	4	6	+4	22
11	Fortuna Dusseldorf	16	5	6	5	+6	21
12	Hannover	16	5	6	5	-4	21
13	Dresden	16	5	5	6	+1	20
14	Hansa Rostock	16	4	5	7	-7	17
15	Paderborn	16	3	7	6	+0	16
16	Sandhausen	16	3	5	8	-12	14
17	Erzgebirge Aue	16	3	3	10	-17	12
18	Ingolstadt	16	2	4	10	-17	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paderborn	16	9	5	2	+13	32
2	Schalke 04	16	9	3	4	+14	30
3	Werder Bremen	16	9	3	4	+7	30
4	Darmstadt	16	8	3	5	+7	27
5	Hamburg	16	6	6	4	+12	24
6	Nurnberg	16	6	6	4	+0	24
7	Sandhausen	16	6	6	4	+0	24
8	Hansa Rostock	16	6	5	5	-3	23
9	Fortuna Dusseldorf	16	5	5	6	-2	20
10	St Pauli	16	5	5	6	-4	20
11	Regensburg	16	4	6	6	-1	18
12	Holstein Kiel	16	4	6	6	-6	18
13	Hannover	16	5	3	8	-10	18
14	Karlsruhe	16	4	5	7	-5	17
15	Heidenheim	16	4	3	9	-13	15
16	Dresden	16	2	5	9	-13	11
17	Erzgebirge Aue	15	2	5	8	-15	11
18	Ingolstadt	16	2	4	10	-17	10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.