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Ligue 2

Caen

U T U T U

2–0

Full-time

Guingamp

S U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Caen Guingamp

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,7

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

33%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

2,0

3,8

Scored

0,8

1,8

Conceded

1,2

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,2

This season — Ligue 2 · 17/17 matches

Win Ø 27%

24%

29%

Points per game

1,1

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 47%

41%

53%

Both score Ø 56%

47%

65%

Average goals

2,2

2,6

Scored

1,1

1,2

Conceded

1,1

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,1

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

10 Shots 13

4 Shots on target 3

5 Corners 3

14 Free kicks against 22

1 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 2

The table before the match Caen 17. · Guingamp 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajaccio	18	10	5	3	+11	35
2	Toulouse	17	9	6	2	+21	33
3	Sochaux	17	9	4	4	+4	31
4	Auxerre	17	8	6	3	+8	30
5	Paris FC	17	9	3	5	+5	30
6	Le Havre	18	7	8	3	+6	29
7	Rodez	17	7	4	6	+3	25
8	Pau FC	17	7	3	7	+0	24
9	Niort	17	7	3	7	-1	24
10	Guingamp	17	5	6	6	-3	21
11	Grenoble	17	6	3	8	-5	21
12	Nimes	17	5	5	7	-2	20
13	Quevilly Rouen	17	5	5	7	-6	20
14	Valenciennes	17	5	5	7	-9	20
15	Dijon	17	6	1	10	-6	19
16	Amiens	17	3	9	5	+1	18
17	Caen	17	4	6	7	-1	18
18	Bastia	17	4	6	7	-3	18
19	Dunkerque	17	4	4	9	-8	16
20	Nancy	17	2	6	9	-15	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajaccio	9	6	2	1	+8	20
2	Pau FC	9	6	1	2	+7	19
3	Auxerre	9	5	3	1	+11	18
4	Toulouse	8	5	2	1	+13	17
5	Sochaux	9	5	2	2	+3	17
6	Grenoble	9	5	1	3	+3	16
7	Le Havre	10	4	4	2	+3	16
8	Paris FC	8	4	3	1	+4	15
9	Niort	8	4	1	3	+2	13
10	Dijon	9	4	1	4	+0	13
11	Bastia	8	2	6	0	+4	12
12	Rodez	8	3	3	2	+2	12
13	Guingamp	8	3	2	3	+0	11
14	Amiens	9	2	4	3	+2	10
15	Nimes	8	2	3	3	-2	9
16	Quevilly Rouen	8	2	3	3	-3	9
17	Dunkerque	9	2	3	4	-3	9
18	Caen	9	2	1	6	-1	7
19	Valenciennes	8	2	1	5	-8	7
20	Nancy	8	1	3	4	-9	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Toulouse	9	4	4	1	+8	16
2	Ajaccio	9	4	3	2	+3	15
3	Paris FC	9	5	0	4	+1	15
4	Sochaux	8	4	2	2	+1	14
5	Le Havre	8	3	4	1	+3	13
6	Rodez	9	4	1	4	+1	13
7	Valenciennes	9	3	4	2	-1	13
8	Auxerre	8	3	3	2	-3	12
9	Nimes	9	3	2	4	+0	11
10	Caen	8	2	5	1	+0	11
11	Quevilly Rouen	9	3	2	4	-3	11
12	Niort	9	3	2	4	-3	11
13	Guingamp	9	2	4	3	-3	10
14	Amiens	8	1	5	2	-1	8
15	Dunkerque	8	2	1	5	-5	7
16	Nancy	9	1	3	5	-6	6
17	Dijon	8	2	0	6	-6	6
18	Bastia	9	2	0	7	-7	6
19	Pau FC	8	1	2	5	-7	5
20	Grenoble	8	1	2	5	-8	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.