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Pro League
Referee: E Lambrechts
Charleroi
U S T S T
1–3
Full-time
Gent
S S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Charleroi Gent
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
3,0
2,7
Scored
1,8
2,0
Conceded
1,2
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+1,3
This season — Pro League · 31/31 matches
Win Ø 50%
48%
52%
Points per game
1,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
61%
45%
Both score Ø 39%
35%
42%
Average goals
2,9
2,4
Scored
1,6
1,6
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

45% Possession 55%
12 Shots 8
4 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 7
4 Corners 4
1 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Charleroi 8. · Gent 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St. Gilloise 31 24 4 3 +56 76
2 Club Brugge 31 22 5 4 +38 71
3 Anderlecht 31 19 8 4 +46 65
4 Antwerp 31 19 5 7 +21 62
5 Genk 32 17 5 10 +28 56
6 Gent 31 16 8 7 +25 56
7 St Truiden 36 16 6 14 +2 54
8 Charleroi 31 15 7 9 +13 52
9 Mechelen 32 15 5 12 -2 50
10 Cercle Brugge 36 13 9 14 +4 48
11 Kortrijk 36 11 10 15 -1 43
12 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 36 10 12 14 -13 42
13 Oostende 36 11 8 17 -26 41
14 Standard 36 10 9 17 -19 39
15 Waregem 36 9 8 19 -30 35
16 Eupen 36 8 9 19 -25 33
17 Seraing United 35 9 4 22 -37 31
18 Seraing 34 8 4 22 -38 28
19 Beerschot VA 36 5 4 27 -41 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Charleroi Gent
Ryota Morioka ℹ️
VAR: Penalty awarded
42′
43′
🟨 Darko Lemajić
1–0 A. Zorgane
45′
Half-time 1–0
I. Mbenza 🔁
↦ Y. Badji
46′
Ken Nkuba 🟨
53′
53′
D. Lemajić 1–1
B. Godeau
61′
D. Lemajić 1–2
64′
ℹ️ Darko Lemajić
VAR: Goal confirmed
67′
M. Ngadeu 1–3
S. Kums
72′
🔁 R. Bezus
↦ D. Lemajić
J. Tchatchoua 🔁
↦ K. Nkuba
75′
M. Wasinski 🔁
↦ V. Ozornwa
75′
A. Zaroury 🔁
↦ A. Gholizadeh
75′
84′
🔁 E. Owusu
↦ A. Castro-Montes
84′
🔁 G. Bruno
↦ T. Tissoudali
Stefan Knežević 🟨
91′
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Charleroi

3-4-1-2
16 H. Koffi G
12 J. Kayembe M
3 S. Knežević D
5 L. Bessilé D
25 V. Ozornwafor D
44 R. Morioka F
8 A. Gholizadeh F
18 D. Heymans M
6 A. Zorgane M
28 K. Nkuba M
10 Y. Badji F
Bench (7)
7 I. Mbenza
38 J. Tchatchoua
31 M. Wasinski
70 A. Zaroury
21 S. Andreou
1 B. Kamara
14 N. Petkevičius

Coach: E. Still

Gent

3-4-1-2
33 D. Roef G
31 B. Godeau D
5 M. Ngadeu D
25 Núrio Fortuna M
14 A. Castro-Montes F
2 J. Okumu D
24 S. Kums M
13 J. De Sart M
18 M. Samoise M
11 D. Lemajić F
34 T. Tissoudali F
Bench (7)
9 R. Bezus
6 E. Owusu
19 G. Bruno
16 I. Cissé
22 S. Marreh
1 S. Bolat
23 Y. Malede

Coach: H. Vanhaezebrouck

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,18
U
3,48
B ✓
2,16
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,72
U2,5
2,09
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

E Lambrechts · 128 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.