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Primeira Liga
Referee: Manuel Mota
Porto
S S S S T
4–2
Full-time
Vizela
U S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Porto Vizela
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
83%
33%
Points per game
2,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
0%
67%
Average goals
2,8
2,0
Scored
2,7
1,0
Conceded
0,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+2,5
+0,0
This season — Primeira Liga · 31/31 matches
Win Ø 54%
84%
23%
Points per game
2,6
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
68%
45%
Both score Ø 57%
52%
61%
Average goals
3,2
2,6
Scored
2,5
1,1
Conceded
0,6
1,6
Goal diff per game
+1,9
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

67% Possession 33%
17 Shots 3
8 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 0
0 Goalkeeper saves 4
8 Corners 2
0 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 7
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Porto 1. · Vizela 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Porto 31 26 4 1 +59 82
2 Sp Lisbon 31 24 4 3 +42 76
3 Benfica 32 22 5 5 +47 71
4 Sp Braga 31 17 8 6 +20 59
5 Gil Vicente 31 12 12 7 +10 48
6 Guimaraes 31 12 7 12 +4 43
7 Maritimo 32 9 10 13 -4 37
8 Pacos Ferreira 31 9 10 12 -11 37
9 Estoril 32 8 12 12 -6 36
10 Santa Clara 31 8 12 11 -14 36
11 Portimonense 32 9 8 15 -14 35
12 Famalicao 32 7 12 13 -8 33
13 Boavista 31 6 15 10 -14 33
14 Vizela 31 7 11 13 -16 32
15 Arouca 32 7 9 16 -23 30
16 Moreirense 31 6 8 17 -19 26
17 Tondela 31 7 5 19 -23 26
18 Belenenses 31 5 10 16 -30 25

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

19. Dec -21 Vizela – Porto 0–4

Match report

Porto Vizela
2′
🟨 Igor Julião
1–0 Evanilson
21′
23′
🔁 Raphael Guzzo
↦ Claudemir
Marko Grujić ℹ️
VAR: Penalty awarded
26′
2–0 M. Taremi
28′
36′
A. Méndez 2–1
Igor Julião
Marko Grujić 🟨
38′
Half-time 2–1
M. Uribe 🔁
↦ M. Grujić
46′
49′
Nuno Moreira 2–2
Igor Julião
3–2 C. Mbemba
Pepê Aquino
57′
Wendell 🔁
↦ Z. Sanusi
59′
Francisco Conceição 🔁
↦ Fábio Vieira
59′
73′
🔁 K. Zohi
↦ Guilherme Schettine
Galeno 🔁
↦ Evanilson
79′
4–2 M. Taremi
87′
S. Eustáquio 🔁
↦ Vitinha
89′
89′
🔁 K. Kouao
↦ Igor Julião
89′
🔁 Guo Tianyu
↦ Nuno Moreira
89′
🔁 A. Sarmiento
↦ Kiko Bondoso
Full-time 4–2

Line-ups

Porto

4-2-3-1
99 Diogo Costa G
3 Pepe D
19 C. Mbemba D
12 Z. Sanusi D
25 Otávio M
16 M. Grujić M
20 Vitinha M
50 Fábio Vieira M
9 M. Taremi M
11 Pepê Aquino D
30 Evanilson F
Bench (9)
8 M. Uribe
22 Wendell
10 Francisco Conceição
13 Galeno
46 S. Eustáquio
23 João Mário
29 Toni Martínez
2 Fábio Cardoso
1 A. Marchesín

Coach: Sérgio Conceição

Vizela

4-3-3
1 Pedro Silva G
37 R. Ofori D
14 Igor Julião D
5 Anderson D
10 Kiko Bondoso F
4 Ivanildo Fernandes D
6 Claudemir M
20 Samú M
19 A. Méndez M
79 Nuno Moreira F
95 Guilherme Schettine F
Bench (9)
8 Raphael Guzzo
22 K. Zohi
39 K. Kouao
18 Guo Tianyu
29 A. Sarmiento
70 A. Alvarado
84 Ivo Gonçalves
25 M. Aidara
60 Emmanuel Maviram

Coach: Álvaro Pacheco

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,13
U
8,28
B
19,36
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,37
U2,5
3,01
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Manuel Mota · 73 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,6 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,36 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.