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Ekstraklasa
Stal Mielec
U T T T T
2–1
Full-time
Legia
U S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stal Mielec Legia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
2,8
2,8
Scored
0,8
1,5
Conceded
2,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+0,2
This season — Ekstraklasa · 30/30 matches
Win Ø 32%
27%
37%
Points per game
1,1
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
47%
47%
Both score Ø 54%
60%
47%
Average goals
2,6
2,5
Scored
1,1
1,2
Conceded
1,5
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Stal Mielec 14. · Legia 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lech Poznan 31 19 8 4 +40 65
2 Rakow 31 19 8 4 +28 65
3 Pogon Szczecin 31 18 8 5 +32 62
4 Lechia Gdansk 31 15 8 8 +15 53
5 Piast Gliwice 31 14 8 9 +8 50
6 Wisla Plock 30 14 3 13 +1 45
7 Radomiak Radom 31 10 14 7 +5 44
8 Gornik Zabrze 31 11 8 12 -1 41
9 Cracovia 30 11 8 11 -2 41
10 Legia 30 11 3 16 -6 36
11 Warta Poznan 31 9 9 13 -6 36
12 Jagiellonia 31 8 11 12 -12 35
13 Slask Wroclaw 31 7 12 12 -9 33
14 Stal Mielec 30 8 9 13 -10 33
15 Zaglebie 31 9 5 17 -21 32
16 Wisla 30 7 8 15 -14 29
17 Nieciecza 30 6 9 15 -20 27
18 Leczna 31 6 9 16 -28 27

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.