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Bundesliga
Referee: R Hartmann
Dortmund
U T S S T
3–4
Full-time
Bochum
T S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dortmund Bochum
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,5
2,2
Scored
2,0
0,5
Conceded
1,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-1,2
This season — Bundesliga · 31/31 matches
Win Ø 49%
65%
32%
Points per game
2,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
74%
42%
Both score Ø 58%
74%
42%
Average goals
4,0
2,4
Scored
2,5
1,0
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

69% Possession 31%
19 Shots 12
10 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
10 Corners 3
3 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 18
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Dortmund 2. · Bochum 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 31 24 3 4 +62 75
2 Dortmund 31 20 3 8 +31 63
3 Leverkusen 31 16 7 8 +28 55
4 RB Leipzig 31 16 6 9 +33 54
5 Freiburg 31 14 10 7 +15 52
6 Union Berlin 32 14 9 9 +2 51
7 FC Koln 31 13 10 8 +2 49
8 Hoffenheim 31 13 7 11 +5 46
9 Ein Frankfurt 31 10 10 11 -2 40
10 Mainz 31 11 6 14 +2 39
11 M'gladbach 31 10 8 13 -13 38
12 Wolfsburg 31 11 4 16 -12 37
13 Bochum 31 10 6 15 -15 36
14 Augsburg 31 9 8 14 -11 35
15 Hertha 31 9 5 17 -32 32
16 Stuttgart 31 6 10 15 -19 28
17 Bielefeld 31 5 11 15 -25 26
18 Greuther Furth 32 3 9 20 -51 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

11. Dec -21 Bochum – Dortmund 1–1

Match report

Dortmund Bochum
3′
S. Polter 0–1
T. Asano
8′
G. Holtmann 0–2
T. Asano
Marius Wolf ℹ️
VAR: Penalty awarded
17′
1–2 E. Haaland
18′
Jude Bellingham 🟨
24′
Julian Brandt ℹ️
VAR: Penalty awarded
28′
2–2 E. Haaland
30′
31′
🟨 Anthony Losilla
35′
🟨 Erhan Mašović
Half-time 2–2
Julian Brandt 🟨
54′
3–2 E. Haaland
M. Reus
62′
F. Passlack 🔁
↦ J. Bynoe-Gittens
63′
68′
🔁 C. Antwi-Adjei
↦ G. Holtmann
72′
🔁 S. Zoller
↦ T. Asano
72′
🔁 J. Locadia
↦ S. Polter
81′
J. Locadia 3–3
M. Pantović
Reinier 🔁
↦ M. Wolf
84′
T. Rothe 🔁
↦ Raphaël Guerreiro
84′
84′
🔁 E. Löwen
↦ E. Rexhbeçaj
85′
M. Pantović 3–4
Y. Moukoko 🔁
↦ J. Brandt
87′
A. Papadopoulos 🔁
↦ A. Witsel
87′
Tom Rothe 🟨
89′
92′
🟨 Simon Zoller
Antonios Papadopoulos 🟨
93′
Full-time 3–4

Line-ups

Dortmund

4-2-3-1
35 M. Hitz G
13 Raphaël Guerreiro D
16 M. Akanji D
5 D. Zagadou D
28 A. Witsel M
19 J. Brandt M
39 M. Wolf D
22 J. Bellingham M
43 J. Bynoe-Gittens M
11 M. Reus M
9 E. Haaland F
Bench (8)
30 F. Passlack
20 Reinier
36 T. Rothe
18 Y. Moukoko
47 A. Papadopoulos
14 N. Schulz
38 R. Bürki
34 M. Pongracic

Coach: M. Rose

Bochum

4-3-3
1 M. Riemann G
2 C. Gamboa D
11 H. Bockhorn D
29 M. Leitsch D
8 A. Losilla M
20 E. Rexhbeçaj M
4 E. Mašović D
40 S. Polter F
17 G. Holtmann F
10 T. Asano F
27 M. Pantović M
Bench (9)
22 C. Antwi-Adjei
9 S. Zoller
19 J. Locadia
38 E. Löwen
21 M. Esser
6 P. Osterhage
7 D. Blum
23 R. Tesche
24 V. Lampropoulos

Coach: T. Reis

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,36
U
5,40
B ✓
8,01
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,44
U2,5
2,80
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

R Hartmann · 103 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.