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Ligue 2
Ajaccio
S S S S U
2–1
Full-time
Le Havre
T S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ajaccio Le Havre
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
83%
50%
Points per game
2,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,7
Scored
1,7
1,3
Conceded
0,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+0,0
This season — Ligue 2 · 35/35 matches
Win Ø 47%
57%
37%
Points per game
1,9
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 24%
17%
31%
Both score Ø 27%
17%
37%
Average goals
1,5
2,0
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
0,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

10 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 3
6 Corners 1
13 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ajaccio 3. · Le Havre 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Toulouse 35 22 10 3 +50 76
2 Auxerre 36 19 11 6 +20 68
3 Ajaccio 35 20 8 7 +18 68
4 Sochaux 35 18 10 7 +13 64
5 Paris FC 35 18 9 8 +16 63
6 Le Havre 35 13 11 11 +0 50
7 Guingamp 35 12 13 10 +0 49
8 Caen 35 12 11 12 +10 47
9 Nimes 35 13 7 15 -6 46
10 Niort 35 12 9 14 +0 45
11 Amiens 35 9 16 10 +4 43
12 Bastia 35 9 16 10 +2 43
13 Dijon 35 12 7 16 -6 43
14 Pau FC 35 12 6 17 -10 42
15 Grenoble 35 12 6 17 -10 42
16 Valenciennes 35 8 13 14 -15 37
17 Quevilly Rouen 35 9 10 16 -16 37
18 Rodez 35 7 13 15 -14 34
19 Dunkerque 36 8 7 21 -21 31
20 Nancy 35 5 9 21 -35 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,53
U
3,72
B
6,93
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,42
U2,5
1,54
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.