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Ligue 2

Guingamp

U T T U U

2–2

Full-time

Caen

T T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Guingamp Caen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,7

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,0

2,2

Scored

0,8

Conceded

1,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,5

This season — Ligue 2 · 25/25 matches

Win Ø 24%

16%

32%

Points per game

1,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

44%

40%

Both score Ø 52%

56%

48%

Average goals

2,4

2,2

Scored

1,0

Conceded

1,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

15 Shots 6

6 Shots on target 3

6 Corners 3

15 Free kicks against 21

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Guingamp 17. · Caen 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Troyes	26	15	7	4	+17	52
2	Clermont	26	14	7	5	+22	49
3	Toulouse	26	14	7	5	+18	49
4	Grenoble	26	14	6	6	+14	48
5	Auxerre	26	12	8	6	+18	44
6	Paris FC	26	11	8	7	+6	41
7	Sochaux	26	9	11	6	+10	38
8	Valenciennes	26	9	9	8	+3	36
9	Le Havre	26	8	10	8	-6	34
10	Amiens	26	8	9	9	+0	33
11	Caen	25	8	9	8	-4	33
12	Niort	26	8	9	9	-9	33
13	Ajaccio	26	8	8	10	-10	32
14	Rodez	26	6	12	8	-7	30
15	Nancy	26	6	10	10	-5	28
16	Dunkerque	26	7	6	13	-11	27
17	Guingamp	25	4	12	9	-7	24
18	Chambly	26	5	8	13	-17	23
19	Pau FC	26	5	6	15	-16	21
20	Chateauroux	26	4	6	16	-16	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Troyes	13	10	3	0	+14	33
2	Clermont	13	9	3	1	+18	30
3	Grenoble	12	9	3	0	+17	30
4	Auxerre	13	8	3	2	+19	27
5	Toulouse	13	8	3	2	+12	27
6	Paris FC	13	7	4	2	+6	25
7	Caen	13	5	6	2	+1	21
8	Niort	13	5	5	3	+2	20
9	Rodez	14	5	5	4	+0	20
10	Sochaux	13	5	4	4	+3	19
11	Valenciennes	13	5	4	4	+2	19
12	Ajaccio	13	5	4	4	-1	19
13	Amiens	13	4	6	3	+1	18
14	Dunkerque	13	4	4	5	+1	16
15	Le Havre	13	3	7	3	-1	16
16	Nancy	13	3	6	4	-2	15
17	Chambly	14	4	2	8	-7	14
18	Pau FC	12	3	4	5	-3	13
19	Guingamp	12	2	6	4	-2	12
20	Chateauroux	13	3	2	8	-5	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Toulouse	13	6	4	3	+6	22
2	Sochaux	13	4	7	2	+7	19
3	Clermont	13	5	4	4	+4	19
4	Troyes	13	5	4	4	+3	19
5	Grenoble	14	5	3	6	-3	18
6	Le Havre	13	5	3	5	-5	18
7	Valenciennes	13	4	5	4	+1	17
8	Auxerre	13	4	5	4	-1	17
9	Paris FC	13	4	4	5	+0	16
10	Amiens	13	4	3	6	-1	15
11	Nancy	13	3	4	6	-3	13
12	Ajaccio	13	3	4	6	-9	13
13	Niort	13	3	4	6	-11	13
14	Guingamp	13	2	6	5	-5	12
15	Caen	12	3	3	6	-5	12
16	Dunkerque	13	3	2	8	-12	11
17	Rodez	12	1	7	4	-7	10
18	Chambly	12	1	6	5	-10	9
19	Pau FC	14	2	2	10	-13	8
20	Chateauroux	13	1	4	8	-11	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.