Ligue 1
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Guingamp
Caen
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Paris SG
|
35 | 27 | 4 | 4 | +67 | 85 |
| 2 |
Lille
|
34 | 20 | 8 | 6 | +31 | 68 |
| 3 |
Lyon
|
34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | +15 | 62 |
| 4 |
St Etienne
|
34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | +15 | 59 |
| 5 |
Marseille
|
35 | 16 | 7 | 12 | +7 | 55 |
| 6 |
Montpellier
|
34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | +11 | 54 |
| 7 |
Nice
|
35 | 14 | 10 | 11 | -4 | 52 |
| 8 |
Reims
|
34 | 11 | 16 | 7 | -2 | 49 |
| 9 |
Strasbourg
|
35 | 10 | 16 | 9 | +12 | 46 |
| 10 |
Nimes
|
34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | -4 | 46 |
| 11 |
Rennes
|
34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 44 |
| 12 |
Nantes
|
34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | -2 | 43 |
| 13 |
Angers
|
34 | 9 | 15 | 10 | +0 | 42 |
| 14 |
Bordeaux
|
34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | -6 | 38 |
| 15 |
Toulouse
|
34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | -18 | 36 |
| 16 |
Monaco
|
34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | -17 | 33 |
| 17 |
Amiens
|
34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | -20 | 33 |
| 18 |
Caen
|
34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | -21 | 29 |
| 19 |
Dijon
|
34 | 7 | 7 | 20 | -24 | 28 |
| 20 |
Guingamp
|
34 | 5 | 9 | 20 | -39 | 24 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
L. Blas
M
M. Merghem
M
M. Thuram
M
Coach: J. Gourvennec
B. Samba
G
J. Gradit
D
F. Guilbert
D
J. Deminguet
M
Coach: F. Mercadal
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Nice
Guingamp
Guingamp
Marseille
Strasbourg
Guingamp
Guingamp
Monaco
Montpellier
Guingamp
Brisard Jerome · 32 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.