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Ligue 2
Caen
S U T S T
1–0
Full-time
Guingamp
T S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Caen Guingamp
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 17%
0%
33%
Average goals
1,5
2,2
Scored
0,8
1,2
Conceded
0,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,2
This season — Ligue 2 · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 43%
43%
43%
Points per game
1,6
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 29%
29%
29%
Both score Ø 15%
0%
29%
Average goals
1,3
2,0
Scored
0,7
1,0
Conceded
0,6
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

19 Shots 7
6 Shots on target 3
10 Corners 3
7 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Caen 7. · Guingamp 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris FC 7 5 1 1 +7 16
2 Niort 7 4 2 1 +4 14
3 Sochaux 7 3 4 0 +4 13
4 Troyes 7 4 1 2 +4 13
5 Clermont 7 3 3 1 +6 12
6 Grenoble 7 4 0 3 +4 12
7 Caen 7 3 2 2 +1 11
8 Valenciennes 7 3 1 3 +1 10
9 Guingamp 7 3 1 3 +0 10
10 Dunkerque 7 3 1 3 +0 10
11 Le Havre 7 3 1 3 -2 10
12 Toulouse 7 2 3 2 +0 9
13 Auxerre 7 3 0 4 -1 9
14 Nancy 7 2 2 3 +0 8
15 Chateauroux 7 2 2 3 +0 8
16 Amiens 7 2 2 3 -1 8
17 Rodez 7 2 2 3 -5 8
18 Chambly 7 1 2 4 -7 5
19 Ajaccio 7 1 1 5 -8 4
20 Pau FC 7 0 3 4 -7 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,75
U
2,96
B
2,71
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,36
U2,5 ✓
1,57
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.