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Super League
Referee: E Staubli
Lugano
S U T T T
1–1
Full-time
Grasshoppers
T U U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lugano Grasshoppers
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,8
3,0
Scored
1,7
1,5
Conceded
2,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,0
This season — Super League · 31/31 matches
Win Ø 36%
45%
26%
Points per game
1,5
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
52%
55%
Both score Ø 60%
48%
71%
Average goals
2,8
3,2
Scored
1,3
1,6
Conceded
1,5
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

53% Possession 47%
12 Shots 13
6 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
2 Corners 6
4 Offside 4
12 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lugano 4. · Grasshoppers 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Zurich 31 21 6 4 +31 69
2 Basel 31 14 14 3 +30 56
3 Young Boys 31 13 11 7 +25 50
4 Lugano 31 14 4 13 -6 46
5 St. Gallen 31 12 8 11 +4 44
6 Servette 31 12 5 14 -10 41
7 Grasshoppers 31 8 11 12 -1 35
8 Sion 31 9 7 15 -20 34
9 Luzern 31 5 12 14 -22 27
10 Lausanne 31 4 8 19 -31 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lugano Grasshoppers
K. Hajrizi 🔁
↦ M. Marić
29′
Numa Lavanchy 🟨
40′
Half-time 0–0
M. Amoura 🔁
↦ K. Rüegg
57′
58′
Léo Bonatini 0–1
64′
🔁 E. Lenjani
↦ G. Morandi
M. Bottani 🔁
↦ O. Custodio
66′
I. Aliseda 🔁
↦ M. Valenzuela
66′
72′
🔁 A. Abrashi
↦ Léo Bonatini
1–1 J. Sabbatini
M. Bottani
75′
Fabio Daprelà 🟨
87′
88′
🔁 Bruno Jordão
↦ C. Herc
88′
🔁 B. Riascos
↦ F. Momoh
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Lugano

3-5-1-1
26 A. Saipi G
3 R. Ziegler D
5 M. Marić D
30 F. Daprelà D
16 N. Lavanchy M
17 M. Valenzuela M
14 J. Sabbatini M
20 O. Custodio F
27 K. Rüegg M
24 S. Lovrić M
19 Ž. Celar F
Bench (9)
4 K. Hajrizi
6 M. Amoura
10 M. Bottani
31 I. Aliseda
21 Yuri
18 M. Haile-Selassie
29 H. Mahmoud
58 S. Osigwe
8 A. Durrer

Coach: M. Croci-Torti

Grasshoppers

3-4-3
1 André Moreira G
41 N. Loosli D
31 D. Schmid M
15 A. Seko D
77 B. Bolla M
34 A. Arigoni D
40 H. Kawabe M
28 C. Herc M
22 G. Morandi F
11 Léo Bonatini F
59 F. Momoh F
Bench (8)
3 E. Lenjani
6 A. Abrashi
20 Bruno Jordão
94 B. Riascos
27 M. Matic
7 Nuno da Silva
4 Li Lei
8 André Santos

Coach: G. Contini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

E Staubli · 28 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.