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La Liga
Referee: Jorge Figueroa
Valencia
S U U T T
1–1
Full-time
Levante
T S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valencia Levante
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
1,3
3,8
Scored
0,5
2,0
Conceded
0,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,2
This season — La Liga · 33/33 matches
Win Ø 23%
30%
15%
Points per game
1,3
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
55%
55%
Both score Ø 61%
67%
55%
Average goals
2,8
3,2
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
1,5
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

32% Possession 68%
6 Shots 24
1 Shots on target 6
1 Blocked shots 9
5 Goalkeeper saves 0
1 Corners 7
11 Free kicks against 21
4 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Valencia 10. · Levante 20.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 34 25 6 3 +44 81
2 Sevilla 34 17 13 4 +22 64
3 Barcelona 33 18 9 6 +28 63
4 Ath Madrid 33 18 7 8 +20 61
5 Betis 33 17 6 10 +18 57
6 Sociedad 33 15 10 8 +1 55
7 Villarreal 34 14 10 10 +21 52
8 Ath Bilbao 33 12 12 9 +5 48
9 Osasuna 33 12 8 13 -10 44
10 Valencia 33 10 12 11 -4 42
11 Vallecano 33 11 7 15 -4 40
12 Celta 33 10 9 14 -1 39
13 Espanol 34 10 9 15 -12 39
14 Elche 33 10 8 15 -8 38
15 Getafe 33 8 11 14 -6 35
16 Cadiz 34 6 14 14 -17 32
17 Mallorca 33 8 8 17 -25 32
18 Granada 33 6 12 15 -20 30
19 Alaves 34 7 7 20 -28 28
20 Levante 33 5 10 18 -24 25

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Valencia Levante
Gonçalo Guedes 🟨
23′
1–0 Hugo Duro
José Gayà
27′
José Luis Gayà 🟥
31′
José Luis Gayà ℹ️
VAR: Card upgrade
31′
36′
🟨 Nemanja Radoja
Omar Alderete 🟨
38′
38′
🟨 Son
Half-time 1–0
Jesús Vázquez 🔁
↦ Hugo Guillamón
46′
46′
🔁 E. Bardhi
↦ N. Radoja
56′
🔁 M. Saracchi
↦ Son
62′
🔁 Melero
↦ Rúben Vezo
62′
🔁 Soldado
↦ Campaña
Giorgi Mamardashvili 🟨
70′
M. Gómez 🔁
↦ Gonçalo Guedes
74′
D. Foulquier 🔁
↦ Thierry Correia
74′
79′
🔁 Marc Pubill
↦ Miramón
81′
Ó. Duarte 1–1
Morales
84′
🟨 Óscar Duarte
Hugo Duro 🟨
85′
Bryan Gil 🔁
↦ Hugo Duro
90′
Y. Musah 🔁
↦ Carlos Soler
93′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Valencia

5-3-2
28 G. Mamardashvili G
5 Gabriel Paulista D
14 José Gayà D
15 O. Alderete D
12 M. Diakhaby D
2 Thierry Correia D
6 Hugo Guillamón M
10 Carlos Soler M
8 U. Račić M
7 Gonçalo Guedes F
19 Hugo Duro F
Bench (12)
32 Jesús Vázquez
9 M. Gómez
20 D. Foulquier
21 Bryan Gil
4 Y. Musah
1 Jaume Doménech
18 K. Koindredi
13 J. Cillessen
17 D. Cheryshev
24 E. Cömert
22 Marcos André
11 Hélder Costa

Coach: José Bordalás

Levante

5-3-2
34 Dani Cárdenas G
6 Ó. Duarte D
20 Miramón D
14 Rúben Vezo D
2 Son D
4 Rober D
24 Campaña M
5 N. Radoja M
11 Morales F
8 Pepelu M
21 Dani Gómez F
Bench (12)
10 E. Bardhi
25 M. Saracchi
22 Melero
16 Soldado
42 Marc Pubill
3 Enric Franquesa
29 Cantero
7 M. Cáceres
23 Coke
1 Aitor Fernández
12 M. Malsa
15 Postigo

Coach: A. Lisci

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,28
U ✓
3,51
B
3,11
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,84
U2,5 ✓
1,98
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Jorge Figueroa · 62 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.