Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Caen
Amiens
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Toulouse
|
33 | 21 | 9 | 3 | +48 | 72 |
| 2 |
Auxerre
|
33 | 17 | 10 | 6 | +18 | 61 |
| 3 |
Ajaccio
|
32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | +14 | 61 |
| 4 |
Paris FC
|
32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | +15 | 57 |
| 5 |
Sochaux
|
32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | +10 | 57 |
| 6 |
Caen
|
32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | +11 | 45 |
| 7 |
Le Havre
|
32 | 11 | 11 | 10 | -2 | 44 |
| 8 |
Dijon
|
32 | 12 | 6 | 14 | -2 | 42 |
| 9 |
Guingamp
|
32 | 10 | 12 | 10 | -4 | 42 |
| 10 |
Pau FC
|
33 | 12 | 6 | 15 | -6 | 42 |
| 11 |
Amiens
|
32 | 9 | 14 | 9 | +6 | 41 |
| 12 |
Niort
|
32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | +0 | 41 |
| 13 |
Nimes
|
32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | -6 | 40 |
| 14 |
Bastia
|
32 | 8 | 15 | 9 | +2 | 39 |
| 15 |
Valenciennes
|
32 | 8 | 12 | 12 | -11 | 36 |
| 16 |
Quevilly Rouen
|
33 | 8 | 10 | 15 | -18 | 34 |
| 17 |
Rodez
|
32 | 7 | 12 | 13 | -12 | 33 |
| 18 |
Grenoble
|
32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | -17 | 33 |
| 19 |
Dunkerque
|
32 | 8 | 6 | 18 | -16 | 30 |
| 20 |
Nancy
|
32 | 5 | 8 | 19 | -30 | 23 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Grenoble
Caen
Caen
Dunkerque
Le Havre
Caen
Valenciennes
Caen
Caen
Toulouse
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.