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La Liga

Referee: Antonio Mateu

Ath Bilbao

U S U T S

2–0

Full-time

Ath Madrid

S S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Bilbao Ath Madrid

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,3

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,5

2,2

Scored

1,2

1,5

Conceded

1,3

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,8

This season — La Liga · 33/33 matches

Win Ø 46%

36%

55%

Points per game

1,5

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 52%

39%

64%

Both score Ø 55%

52%

58%

Average goals

2,2

3,0

Scored

1,2

1,8

Conceded

1,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

43% Possession 57%

11 Shots 9

4 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 3

2 Offside 1

18 Free kicks against 15

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ath Bilbao 8. · Ath Madrid 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	34	25	6	3	+44	81
2	Sevilla	34	17	13	4	+22	64
3	Barcelona	33	18	9	6	+28	63
4	Ath Madrid	33	18	7	8	+20	61
5	Betis	33	17	6	10	+18	57
6	Sociedad	33	15	10	8	+1	55
7	Villarreal	34	14	10	10	+21	52
8	Ath Bilbao	33	12	12	9	+5	48
9	Osasuna	33	12	8	13	-10	44
10	Valencia	34	10	13	11	-4	43
11	Vallecano	33	11	7	15	-4	40
12	Celta	33	10	9	14	-1	39
13	Espanol	34	10	9	15	-12	39
14	Elche	33	10	8	15	-8	38
15	Getafe	33	8	11	14	-6	35
16	Cadiz	34	6	14	14	-17	32
17	Mallorca	33	8	8	17	-25	32
18	Granada	33	6	12	15	-20	30
19	Alaves	34	7	7	20	-28	28
20	Levante	34	5	11	18	-24	26

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	17	12	4	1	+25	40
2	Sevilla	17	11	5	1	+18	38
3	Ath Madrid	17	11	4	2	+16	37
4	Villarreal	17	10	5	2	+23	35
5	Barcelona	16	10	2	4	+17	32
6	Sociedad	17	9	5	3	+5	32
7	Espanol	17	9	4	4	+6	31
8	Betis	17	9	2	6	+11	29
9	Vallecano	16	8	4	4	+10	28
10	Ath Bilbao	16	8	3	5	+7	27
11	Getafe	16	7	4	5	+6	25
12	Mallorca	17	6	6	5	-2	24
13	Valencia	17	5	8	4	+3	23
14	Elche	16	6	5	5	+3	23
15	Alaves	17	6	4	7	-4	22
16	Osasuna	17	5	6	6	-7	21
17	Celta	17	5	4	8	-2	19
18	Granada	16	4	5	7	-8	17
19	Levante	17	3	7	7	-5	16
20	Cadiz	17	2	8	7	-8	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	17	13	2	2	+19	41
2	Barcelona	17	8	7	2	+11	31
3	Betis	16	8	4	4	+7	28
4	Sevilla	17	6	8	3	+4	26
5	Ath Madrid	16	7	3	6	+4	24
6	Osasuna	16	7	2	7	-3	23
7	Sociedad	16	6	5	5	-4	23
8	Ath Bilbao	17	4	9	4	-2	21
9	Celta	16	5	5	6	+1	20
10	Valencia	17	5	5	7	-7	20
11	Cadiz	17	4	6	7	-9	18
12	Villarreal	17	4	5	8	-2	17
13	Elche	17	4	3	10	-11	15
14	Granada	17	2	7	8	-12	13
15	Vallecano	17	3	3	11	-14	12
16	Getafe	17	1	7	9	-12	10
17	Levante	17	2	4	11	-19	10
18	Espanol	17	1	5	11	-18	8
19	Mallorca	16	2	2	12	-23	8
20	Alaves	17	1	3	13	-24	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.