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Serie B
Cremonese
U S T S T
0–1
Full-time
Ascoli
S T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cremonese Ascoli
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
67%
0%
Both score Ø 42%
83%
0%
Average goals
3,0
1,3
Scored
1,7
0,7
Conceded
1,3
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,0
This season — Serie B · 36/36 matches
Win Ø 50%
53%
47%
Points per game
1,8
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
50%
39%
Both score Ø 54%
58%
50%
Average goals
2,6
2,4
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
1,0
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

10 Shots 11
2 Shots on target 2
7 Corners 3
9 Free kicks against 15
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cremonese 2. · Ascoli 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lecce 36 18 14 4 +28 68
2 Cremonese 36 19 9 8 +18 66
3 Monza 36 18 10 8 +20 64
4 Benevento 36 18 9 9 +27 63
5 Brescia 36 16 15 5 +18 63
6 Pisa 36 17 12 7 +12 63
7 Ascoli 36 17 8 11 +6 59
8 Frosinone 36 15 13 8 +17 58
9 Perugia 36 13 16 7 +8 55
10 Ternana 36 14 9 13 -1 51
11 Cittadella 36 12 13 11 +2 49
12 Reggina 36 13 9 14 -12 48
13 Parma 36 10 15 11 +4 45
14 Como 36 10 14 12 -7 44
15 Spal 36 7 15 14 -12 36
16 Alessandria 36 8 9 19 -21 33
17 Cosenza 36 7 10 19 -24 31
18 Vicenza 36 7 7 22 -23 28
19 Crotone 36 4 13 19 -19 25
20 Pordenone 36 3 8 25 -41 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,81
U
3,57
B ✓
4,26
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,99
U2,5 ✓
1,79
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.