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2. Bundesliga
Referee: J Wienefeld
2–1
Full-time
Nurnberg
T S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Preußen Münster Nurnberg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,5
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,0
3,3
Scored
2,0
1,5
Conceded
1,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,3
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,5
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
50%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
100%
0%
Average goals
3,5
1,0
Scored
1,5
0,0
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

49% Possession 51%
12 Shots 8
6 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
1 Corners 7
1 Offside 4
20 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 6
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Preußen Münster 13. · Nurnberg 16.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Bielefeld 2 2 0 0 +6 +1.7 6
2 Darmstadt 2 2 0 0 +4 +0.9 6
3 Hannover 2 2 0 0 +3 +2.5 6
4 Braunschweig 2 2 0 0 +2 -1.1 6
5 Karlsruhe 2 1 1 0 +1 +0.3 4
6 Paderborn 2 1 1 0 +1 +2.8 4
7 Greuther Furth 2 1 0 1 +0 -0.2 3
8 Schalke 04 2 1 0 1 +0 +0.8 3
9 Magdeburg 2 1 0 1 +0 -0.5 3
10 Kaiserslautern 2 1 0 1 +0 -0.2 3
11 Bochum 2 1 0 1 -1 +1.8 3
12 Elversberg 2 1 0 1 -1 -2.9 3
13 Preußen Münster 2 0 1 1 -1 -2.5 1
14 Hertha 2 0 1 1 -1 -1.9 1
15 Dresden 2 0 0 2 -2 +1.8 0
16 Nurnberg 2 0 0 2 -2 +0.1 0
17 Holstein Kiel 2 0 0 2 -3 +0.1 0
18 Fortuna Dusseldorf 2 0 0 2 -6 -3.5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,35
U
3,35
B
2,82
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,88
U2,5
1,84
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.