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2. Bundesliga

Referee: W Haslberger

Holstein Kiel

S S S T S

2–1

Full-time

Paderborn

T U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Holstein Kiel Paderborn

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

83%

33%

Points per game

2,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,3

3,5

Scored

2,3

1,8

Conceded

1,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

+1,3

+0,2

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 50%

75%

25%

Points per game

2,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

50%

75%

Both score Ø 63%

50%

75%

Average goals

3,0

3,3

Scored

1,8

1,0

Conceded

1,3

2,3

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-1,3

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

45% Possession 55%

19 Shots 13

6 Shots on target 2

6 Blocked shots 6

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

6 Corners 8

1 Offside 4

9 Free kicks against 9

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Holstein Kiel 4. · Paderborn 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fortuna Dusseldorf	5	3	1	1	+7	10
2	Hamburg	4	3	1	0	+6	10
3	Hansa Rostock	4	3	0	1	+3	9
4	Holstein Kiel	4	3	0	1	+2	9
5	Magdeburg	4	2	2	0	+3	8
6	Wehen	4	2	1	1	+1	7
7	St Pauli	5	1	4	0	+1	7
8	Karlsruhe	5	2	1	2	+0	7
9	Nurnberg	4	2	1	1	+0	7
10	Kaiserslautern	4	2	0	2	-2	6
11	Hannover	4	1	2	1	+0	5
12	Greuther Furth	4	1	1	2	-1	4
13	Braunschweig	5	1	1	3	-3	4
14	Paderborn	4	1	1	2	-5	4
15	Hertha	4	1	0	3	+0	3
16	Schalke 04	4	1	0	3	-2	3
17	Osnabruck	4	0	1	3	-3	1
18	Elversberg	4	0	1	3	-7	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hamburg	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Fortuna Dusseldorf	3	2	0	1	+2	6
3	Hansa Rostock	3	2	0	1	+2	6
4	Greuther Furth	2	1	1	0	+5	4
5	Karlsruhe	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	Nurnberg	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Wehen	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Braunschweig	3	1	1	1	+0	4
9	Hertha	2	1	0	1	+4	3
10	Schalke 04	2	1	0	1	+1	3
11	Magdeburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Kaiserslautern	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Holstein Kiel	2	1	0	1	-1	3
14	St Pauli	2	0	2	0	+0	2
15	Paderborn	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Hannover	2	0	1	1	-1	1
17	Osnabruck	2	0	0	2	-2	0
18	Elversberg	2	0	0	2	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Holstein Kiel	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Magdeburg	3	1	2	0	+2	5
3	St Pauli	3	1	2	0	+1	5
4	Fortuna Dusseldorf	2	1	1	0	+5	4
5	Hannover	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Hamburg	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Hansa Rostock	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Wehen	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Nurnberg	2	1	0	1	-1	3
10	Karlsruhe	3	1	0	2	-2	3
11	Kaiserslautern	2	1	0	1	-2	3
12	Paderborn	2	1	0	1	-4	3
13	Elversberg	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Osnabruck	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Schalke 04	2	0	0	2	-3	0
16	Braunschweig	2	0	0	2	-3	0
17	Hertha	2	0	0	2	-4	0
18	Greuther Furth	2	0	0	2	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.