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2. Bundesliga
Holstein Kiel
S S S T T
3–4
Full-time
Paderborn
T U U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Holstein Kiel Paderborn
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,5
3,7
Scored
1,2
1,7
Conceded
1,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,3
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 65%
67%
63%
Both score Ø 65%
58%
71%
Average goals
2,8
3,1
Scored
1,3
1,7
Conceded
1,6
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

16 Shots 12
6 Shots on target 6
4 Corners 4
9 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Holstein Kiel 11. · Paderborn 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Werder Bremen 24 13 6 5 +14 45
2 Darmstadt 24 13 5 6 +19 44
3 St Pauli 24 13 5 6 +13 44
4 Hamburg 24 10 11 3 +20 41
5 Schalke 04 24 12 5 7 +18 41
6 Nurnberg 24 11 6 7 +2 39
7 Heidenheim 24 11 6 7 +0 39
8 Paderborn 24 8 9 7 +8 33
9 Karlsruhe 24 8 9 7 +5 33
10 Regensburg 24 9 5 10 +5 32
11 Holstein Kiel 24 8 7 9 -8 31
12 Hannover 24 8 7 9 -9 31
13 Fortuna Dusseldorf 24 7 6 11 -4 27
14 Dresden 24 7 5 12 -9 26
15 Sandhausen 24 6 8 10 -15 26
16 Hansa Rostock 24 6 7 11 -11 25
17 Erzgebirge Aue 24 3 7 14 -25 16
18 Ingolstadt 24 3 6 15 -23 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,20
U
3,62
B ✓
3,07
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,61
U2,5
2,29
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.