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Serie A

Referee: D Orsato

Bologna

U S S T U

2–1

Full-time

Cagliari

U S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bologna Cagliari

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,8

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

50%

17%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,5

1,3

Scored

2,2

0,7

Conceded

1,3

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Serie A · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 0%

Both score Ø 25%

50%

Average goals

2,0

1,0

Scored

0,5

0,0

Conceded

1,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

2,32 xG 0,47

72% Possession 28%

16 Shots 7

7 Shots on target 1

3 Blocked shots 1

0 Goalkeeper saves 5

5 Corners 2

1 Offside 1

9 Free kicks against 13

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Bologna 15. · Cagliari 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Milan	3	3	0	0	+6	+3.4	9
2	Napoli	2	2	0	0	+4	+4.0	6
3	Inter	2	2	0	0	+4	+2.2	6
4	Verona	3	2	0	1	+0	-2.1	6
5	Fiorentina	2	1	1	0	+3	+1.9	4
6	Juventus	2	1	1	0	+3	+1.2	4
7	Lecce	2	1	1	0	+1	-1.2	4
8	Atalanta	2	1	0	1	+1	+1.8	3
9	Monza	2	1	0	1	+0	-0.9	3
10	Frosinone	2	1	0	1	-1	-1.5	3
11	Sassuolo	3	1	0	2	-2	-3.2	3
12	Genoa	2	1	0	1	-2	-1.7	3
13	Salernitana	2	0	2	0	+0	-2.1	2
14	Roma	3	0	1	2	-2	+1.6	1
15	Bologna	2	0	1	1	-2	-0.2	1
16	Cagliari	2	0	1	1	-2	-0.8	1
17	Udinese	2	0	1	1	-3	-0.6	1
18	Torino	2	0	1	1	-3	-2.0	1
19	Lazio	2	0	0	2	-2	+1.0	0
20	Empoli	2	0	0	2	-3	-0.8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Milan	1	1	0	0	+3	+2.6	3
2	Napoli	1	1	0	0	+2	+3.4	3
3	Inter	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.9	3
4	Monza	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.0	3
5	Verona	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.8	3
6	Lecce	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.1	3
7	Sassuolo	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.2	3
8	Frosinone	2	1	0	1	-1	-1.5	3
9	Fiorentina	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.1	1
10	Juventus	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.3	1
11	Salernitana	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.3	1
12	Torino	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.6	1
13	Roma	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.8	1
14	Lazio	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.9	0
15	Empoli	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.2	0
16	Cagliari	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.3	0
17	Bologna	1	0	0	1	-2	+0.2	0
18	Genoa	1	0	0	1	-3	-0.8	0
19	Udinese	1	0	0	1	-3	-0.9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Milan	2	2	0	0	+3	+0.8	6
2	Fiorentina	1	1	0	0	+3	+0.8	3
3	Juventus	1	1	0	0	+3	+0.9	3
4	Napoli	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.6	3
5	Inter	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.3	3
6	Atalanta	2	1	0	1	+1	+1.8	3
7	Genoa	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.9	3
8	Verona	2	1	0	1	-1	-1.3	3
9	Lecce	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.1	1
10	Salernitana	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.8	1
11	Bologna	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.3	1
12	Udinese	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.3	1
13	Cagliari	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.6	1
14	Roma	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.8	0
15	Lazio	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.1	0
16	Sassuolo	1	0	0	1	-2	-3.4	0
17	Monza	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.9	0
18	Empoli	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.0	0
19	Torino	1	0	0	1	-3	-2.6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.