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Eredivisie

Referee: M Nagtegaal

Almere City

S S T T T

1–2

Full-time

Zwolle

S T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Almere City Zwolle

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

3,7

2,7

Scored

1,3

1,0

Conceded

2,3

1,7

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eredivisie · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

100%

67%

Both score Ø 84%

100%

67%

Average goals

5,0

2,7

Scored

1,0

Conceded

4,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

-3,0

-0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,69 xG 0,53

46% Possession 54%

10 Shots 13

3 Shots on target 6

2 Blocked shots 3

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

7 Corners 4

1 Offside 2

12 Free kicks against 10

3 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Almere City 18. · Zwolle 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sparta Rotterdam	4	2	2	0	+3	+0.1	8
2	AZ Alkmaar	2	2	0	0	+6	+2.1	6
3	Twente	2	2	0	0	+5	+1.0	6
4	PSV Eindhoven	2	2	0	0	+4	+1.2	6
5	Heerenveen	3	2	0	1	+2	-1.1	6
6	Feyenoord	3	1	2	0	+5	+4.6	5
7	Excelsior	3	1	2	0	+1	-0.7	5
8	For Sittard	3	1	2	0	+1	-0.2	5
9	Ajax	2	1	1	0	+3	+4.3	4
10	Nijmegen	4	1	1	2	+1	-1.1	4
11	Go Ahead Eagles	2	1	0	1	-1	-3.5	3
12	Vitesse	2	1	0	1	-1	+0.4	3
13	Zwolle	3	1	0	2	-2	+0.8	3
14	Heracles	2	1	0	1	-2	-2.7	3
15	Volendam	2	0	0	2	-4	+0.2	0
16	Utrecht	3	0	0	3	-5	-1.4	0
17	Waalwijk	3	0	0	3	-7	+0.6	0
18	Almere City	3	0	0	3	-9	-4.8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Feyenoord	2	1	1	0	+5	+3.4	4
2	AZ Alkmaar	1	1	0	0	+4	+2.6	3
3	Ajax	1	1	0	0	+3	+2.6	3
4	Go Ahead Eagles	1	1	0	0	+3	-0.9	3
5	Nijmegen	2	1	0	1	+2	+0.4	3
6	Twente	1	1	0	0	+2	-0.2	3
7	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.9	3
8	Heracles	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.0	3
9	For Sittard	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.5	3
10	Heerenveen	2	1	0	1	+0	-0.7	3
11	Zwolle	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.6	3
12	Excelsior	2	0	2	0	+0	-1.2	2
13	Sparta Rotterdam	2	0	2	0	+0	+0.2	2
14	Volendam	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.7	0
15	Vitesse	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.3	0
16	Waalwijk	1	0	0	1	-2	+0.4	0
17	Utrecht	1	0	0	1	-2	+0.4	0
18	Almere City	1	0	0	1	-3	-1.2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sparta Rotterdam	2	2	0	0	+3	-0.1	6
2	Twente	1	1	0	0	+3	+1.2	3
3	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.3	3
4	AZ Alkmaar	1	1	0	0	+2	-0.4	3
5	Heerenveen	1	1	0	0	+2	-0.4	3
6	Excelsior	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.5	3
7	Vitesse	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.7	3
8	For Sittard	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.7	2
9	Feyenoord	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.3	1
10	Ajax	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.6	1
11	Nijmegen	2	0	1	1	-1	-1.5	1
12	Zwolle	1	0	0	1	-2	+0.2	0
13	Heracles	1	0	0	1	-3	-2.6	0
14	Volendam	1	0	0	1	-3	+0.9	0
15	Utrecht	2	0	0	2	-3	-1.7	0
16	Go Ahead Eagles	1	0	0	1	-4	-2.6	0
17	Waalwijk	2	0	0	2	-5	+0.2	0
18	Almere City	2	0	0	2	-6	-3.6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.