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Serie B

Referee: I Pezzuto

Sudtirol

S T U U S

3–1

Full-time

Ascoli

T T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sudtirol Ascoli

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,8

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,2

2,3

Scored

1,3

0,8

Conceded

0,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,7

This season — Serie B · 2/3 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 25%

50%

Average goals

4,0

2,3

Scored

2,5

1,0

Conceded

1,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

34% Possession 66%

7 Shots 14

4 Shots on target 4

0 Blocked shots 4

4 Goalkeeper saves 1

0 Corners 8

1 Offside 0

11 Free kicks against 16

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sudtirol 7. · Ascoli 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Parma	3	3	0	0	+5	9
2	Venezia	3	2	1	0	+4	7
3	Catanzaro	3	2	1	0	+4	7
4	Modena	2	2	0	0	+2	6
5	Bari	3	1	2	0	+1	5
6	Cosenza	3	1	1	1	+2	4
7	Sudtirol	2	1	1	0	+2	4
8	Palermo	2	1	1	0	+2	4
9	Cremonese	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Cittadella	3	1	1	1	-1	4
11	Pisa	2	1	0	1	+1	3
12	Ascoli	3	1	0	2	-1	3
13	Sampdoria	3	1	0	2	-2	3
14	Reggiana	3	0	1	2	-3	1
15	Spezia	2	0	1	1	-3	1
16	Como	2	0	1	1	-3	1
17	Ternana	3	0	0	3	-3	0
18	FeralpiSalo	3	0	0	3	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Catanzaro	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Parma	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Venezia	2	1	1	0	+3	4
4	Ascoli	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Cosenza	2	1	0	1	+2	3
6	Cittadella	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Modena	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Bari	2	0	2	0	+0	2
9	Sudtirol	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Como	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Cremonese	2	0	1	1	-1	1
12	Pisa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Reggiana	1	0	0	1	-2	0
14	Ternana	2	0	0	2	-2	0
15	FeralpiSalo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Sampdoria	2	0	0	2	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Palermo	2	1	1	0	+2	4
2	Pisa	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Sudtirol	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Venezia	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Parma	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Modena	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Sampdoria	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Bari	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Cremonese	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Cosenza	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Catanzaro	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Reggiana	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Cittadella	2	0	1	1	-2	1
14	Spezia	2	0	1	1	-3	1
15	Ternana	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Como	1	0	0	1	-3	0
17	Ascoli	2	0	0	2	-4	0
18	FeralpiSalo	2	0	0	2	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.