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2. Bundesliga
Paderborn
S T S U S
1–1
Full-time
Holstein Kiel
S T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Paderborn Holstein Kiel
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,5
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,5
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 47%
41%
53%
Points per game
1,5
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
41%
47%
Both score Ø 50%
41%
59%
Average goals
2,4
2,6
Scored
1,3
1,6
Conceded
1,1
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

10 Shots 9
2 Shots on target 3
5 Corners 2
9 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Paderborn 10. · Holstein Kiel 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Hamburg 18 11 4 3 +19 37
2 Bochum 17 10 3 4 +15 33
3 Greuther Furth 18 9 5 4 +11 32
4 Holstein Kiel 17 9 5 3 +11 32
5 Fortuna Dusseldorf 18 9 5 4 +5 32
6 Erzgebirge Aue 18 8 4 6 +5 28
7 Hannover 17 8 2 7 +8 26
8 Karlsruhe 17 8 2 7 +4 26
9 Heidenheim 18 7 5 6 +1 26
10 Paderborn 17 7 4 6 +3 25
11 Osnabruck 18 6 4 8 -8 22
12 Darmstadt 18 6 3 9 -4 21
13 Nurnberg 17 5 5 7 -3 20
14 Regensburg 17 5 5 7 -4 20
15 Braunschweig 18 4 5 9 -19 17
16 St Pauli 17 3 7 7 -7 16
17 Sandhausen 18 4 3 11 -18 15
18 Wurzburger Kickers 18 2 3 13 -19 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,40
U ✓
3,44
B
2,79
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,68
U2,5 ✓
2,16
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.