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Ligue 2
Referee: G Paradis
Concarneau
U U T T T
1–1
Full-time
Annecy
T T U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Concarneau Annecy
Last 6 — all competitions · 5/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,4
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 27%
20%
33%
Both score Ø 27%
20%
33%
Average goals
1,6
2,0
Scored
0,2
1,0
Conceded
1,4
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+0,0
This season — Ligue 2 · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 13%
0%
25%
Points per game
0,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
25%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
1,5
2,5
Scored
0,0
1,3
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,5
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

56% Possession 44%
10 Shots 17
2 Shots on target 7
3 Blocked shots 4
6 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 1
4 Offside 3
10 Free kicks against 21
5 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Concarneau 20. · Annecy 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Caen 4 4 0 0 +9 12
2 Amiens 4 3 0 1 +1 9
3 Auxerre 5 2 2 1 +4 8
4 Grenoble 4 2 2 0 +3 8
5 Guingamp 4 2 1 1 +6 7
6 Bastia 4 2 1 1 +3 7
7 Laval 4 2 1 1 +0 7
8 Bordeaux 5 2 1 2 -2 7
9 Pau FC 4 2 0 2 -1 6
10 Troyes 4 1 2 1 +1 5
11 Annecy 4 1 2 1 +0 5
12 Angers 4 1 2 1 +0 5
13 Ajaccio 4 1 2 1 -2 5
14 St Etienne 4 1 1 2 -1 4
15 Rodez 4 1 1 2 -1 4
16 Dunkerque 4 1 1 2 -3 4
17 Valenciennes 4 1 1 2 -5 4
18 Paris FC 4 1 0 3 -3 3
19 Quevilly Rouen 4 0 1 3 -3 1
20 Concarneau 4 0 1 3 -6 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Concarneau Annecy
Nassim Chadli 🟨
19′
Issouf Paro 🟨
27′
28′
W. Caddy 0–1
32′
🟨 Ahmed Kashi
45′
🟨 Martin Adeline
Half-time 0–1
Romain Sans 🟨
55′
60′
🔁 S. Shamal
↦ N. Kandil
A. Urie 🔁
↦ N. Ndombasi
61′
61′
🔁 K. Testud
↦ A. Larose
P. Bâ 🔁
↦ I. Matondo
62′
1–1 Y. Merdji
R. Sans
66′
71′
🔁 J. Kodjia
↦ W. Caddy
Yanis Merdji 🟨
79′
79′
🟨 Moise Mahop
B. Mouazan 🔁
↦ N. Chadli
88′
Thibault Sinquin 🟨
89′
90′
🔁 Z. Bengueddoudj
↦ M. Adeline
90′
🔁 J. Gonçalvés
↦ Y. Barry
92′
🟨 Ahmed Kashi
92′
🟥 Ahmed Kashi
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Concarneau

4-2-3-1
30 E. Salles G
2 A. Georgen D
26 T. Sinquin D
28 I. Paro D
23 R. Sans D
15 G. Barès M
17 M. Etuin M
21 N. Chadli M
7 I. Matondo M
9 N. Ndombasi M
18 Y. Merdji F
Bench (7)
11 A. Urie
14 P. Bâ
20 B. Mouazan
33 J. Faussurier
1 M. Pattier
3 A. Wahib
29 P. Jouan

Coach: S. Le Mignan

Annecy

4-3-3
1 F. Escales G
6 F. Lajugie D
14 K. Mouanga D
13 G. Jean D
3 M. Mahop D
21 M. Adeline M
5 A. Kashi M
20 Y. Barry M
28 A. Larose F
10 W. Caddy F
18 N. Kandil F
Bench (7)
27 S. Shamal
12 K. Testud
24 J. Kodjia
33 Z. Bengueddoudj
8 J. Gonçalvés
41 T. Delphis
16 T. Callens

Coach: L. Guyot

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,20
U ✓
3,23
B
3,26
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,15
U2,5 ✓
1,67
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

G Paradis · 82 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,35 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.