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2. Bundesliga

Referee: W Haslberger

Holstein Kiel

U S T T S

1–1

Full-time

Paderborn

S T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Holstein Kiel Paderborn

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,3

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

3,0

3,3

Scored

1,5

2,0

Conceded

1,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,7

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 21/21 matches

Win Ø 48%

38%

57%

Points per game

1,5

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 71%

71%

Both score Ø 65%

81%

48%

Average goals

3,5

3,4

Scored

1,8

2,1

Conceded

1,7

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,1

+0,9

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

54% Possession 46%

18 Shots 7

6 Shots on target 3

5 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 5

4 Corners 3

2 Offside 4

8 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Holstein Kiel 7. · Paderborn 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Darmstadt	21	14	6	1	+20	48
2	Hamburg	21	14	2	5	+15	44
3	Heidenheim	21	11	7	3	+18	40
4	Paderborn	21	12	2	7	+19	38
5	Fortuna Dusseldorf	22	11	2	9	+7	35
6	Kaiserslautern	21	9	8	4	+7	35
7	Holstein Kiel	21	8	7	6	+2	31
8	St Pauli	21	7	8	6	+3	29
9	Hannover	21	8	5	8	+2	29
10	Karlsruhe	22	8	4	10	+0	28
11	Greuther Furth	21	6	8	7	-4	26
12	Hansa Rostock	21	7	3	11	-10	24
13	Nurnberg	21	6	4	11	-15	22
14	Braunschweig	22	5	6	11	-12	21
15	Magdeburg	21	6	3	12	-14	21
16	Bielefeld	21	6	2	13	-6	20
17	Regensburg	22	5	5	12	-16	20
18	Sandhausen	21	5	4	12	-16	19

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Heidenheim	11	8	3	0	+18	27
2	Fortuna Dusseldorf	11	8	1	2	+14	25
3	Darmstadt	11	7	4	0	+12	25
4	Paderborn	11	8	0	3	+19	24
5	Hamburg	11	7	1	3	+8	22
6	St Pauli	10	5	5	0	+10	20
7	Greuther Furth	11	5	5	1	+3	20
8	Hannover	10	5	2	3	+3	17
9	Karlsruhe	12	5	2	5	+0	17
10	Kaiserslautern	10	4	4	2	+1	16
11	Holstein Kiel	10	4	3	3	+4	15
12	Braunschweig	11	4	2	5	+0	14
13	Regensburg	11	3	5	3	-6	14
14	Nurnberg	10	4	1	5	-3	13
15	Bielefeld	10	4	0	6	+0	12
16	Sandhausen	10	3	2	5	-7	11
17	Hansa Rostock	11	3	1	7	-6	10
18	Magdeburg	10	2	2	6	-8	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Darmstadt	10	7	2	1	+8	23
2	Hamburg	10	7	1	2	+7	22
3	Kaiserslautern	11	5	4	2	+6	19
4	Holstein Kiel	11	4	4	3	-2	16
5	Paderborn	10	4	2	4	+0	14
6	Hansa Rostock	10	4	2	4	-4	14
7	Heidenheim	10	3	4	3	+0	13
8	Magdeburg	11	4	1	6	-6	13
9	Hannover	11	3	3	5	-1	12
10	Karlsruhe	10	3	2	5	+0	11
11	Fortuna Dusseldorf	11	3	1	7	-7	10
12	St Pauli	11	2	3	6	-7	9
13	Nurnberg	11	2	3	6	-12	9
14	Bielefeld	11	2	2	7	-6	8
15	Sandhausen	11	2	2	7	-9	8
16	Braunschweig	11	1	4	6	-12	7
17	Greuther Furth	10	1	3	6	-7	6
18	Regensburg	11	2	0	9	-10	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.