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Ligue 2
Referee: B Lepaysant
Amiens
T S S S T
4–1
Full-time
Guingamp
S S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Amiens Guingamp
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,0
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
2,3
2,3
Scored
1,3
2,0
Conceded
1,0
0,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,7
This season — Ligue 2 · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 63%
75%
50%
Points per game
2,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
25%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
25%
25%
Average goals
1,8
2,5
Scored
1,0
2,0
Conceded
0,8
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,5
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

48% Possession 52%
11 Shots 12
7 Shots on target 4
0 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 4
1 Offside 0
16 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Amiens 2. · Guingamp 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Caen 4 4 0 0 +9 12
2 Amiens 4 3 0 1 +1 9
3 Auxerre 5 2 2 1 +4 8
4 Grenoble 4 2 2 0 +3 8
5 Guingamp 4 2 1 1 +6 7
6 Bastia 4 2 1 1 +3 7
7 Laval 4 2 1 1 +0 7
8 Bordeaux 5 2 1 2 -2 7
9 Pau FC 4 2 0 2 -1 6
10 Troyes 4 1 2 1 +1 5
11 Annecy 4 1 2 1 +0 5
12 Angers 4 1 2 1 +0 5
13 Ajaccio 4 1 2 1 -2 5
14 St Etienne 4 1 1 2 -1 4
15 Rodez 4 1 1 2 -1 4
16 Dunkerque 4 1 1 2 -3 4
17 Valenciennes 4 1 1 2 -5 4
18 Paris FC 4 1 0 3 -3 3
19 Quevilly Rouen 4 0 1 3 -3 1
20 Concarneau 4 0 1 3 -6 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Amiens Guingamp
Gaël Kakuta 🟨
3′
13′
🟨 Baptiste Guillaume
40′
A. El Ouazzani 0–1
1–1 A. Léautey
A. Tapsoba
42′
Half-time 1–1
52′
🟨 Dylan Louiserre
62′
🟨 Kalidou Sidibé
A. Carroll 🔁
↦ A. Tapsoba
66′
Mamadou Fofana II 🔁
↦ K. Kaïboué
66′
71′
🔁 H. Picard
↦ M. Merghem
71′
🔁 G. Courtet
↦ B. Guillaume
O. Gene 🔁
↦ J. Gélin
74′
2–1 L. Mafouta
G. Kakuta
77′
78′
🟨 Enzo Basilio
3–1 G. Kakuta
81′
82′
🔁 T. Luvambo
↦ D. Louiserre
82′
🔁 J. Iglesias
↦ K. Sidibé
Y. Assogba 🔁
↦ S. Corchia
87′
O. Urhoghide 🔁
↦ M. Fofana
87′
4–1 L. Mafouta
A. Léautey
91′
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Amiens

4-2-3-1
1 R. Gurtner G
14 S. Corchia D
4 N. Opoku D
2 M. Fofana D
22 K. Ouattara D
24 J. Gélin M
20 K. Kaïboué M
7 A. Léautey M
10 G. Kakuta M
8 A. Tapsoba M
9 L. Mafouta F
Bench (7)
99 A. Carroll
6 Mamadou Fofana II
25 O. Gene
15 Y. Assogba
5 O. Urhoghide
16 A. Sauvage
18 A. Ciss

Coach: O. Daf

Guingamp

4-4-2
16 E. Basilio G
27 M. Sivis D
7 D. Gomis D
26 M. Riou D
12 A. Ndour D
10 M. Merghem M
8 K. Sidibé M
4 D. Louiserre M
11 A. Sagna M
9 A. El Ouazzani F
21 B. Guillaume F
Bench (7)
20 H. Picard
18 G. Courtet
23 T. Luvambo
19 J. Iglesias
24 P. Lemonnier
15 V. Manceau
30 B. Niasse

Coach: S. Dumont

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,29
U
3,24
B
3,11
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,08
U2,5
1,71
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

B Lepaysant · 49 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.