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DFB-Pokal
Referee: R Schröder
Cottbus
T
0–7
Full-time
Paderborn
S U T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cottbus Paderborn
Last 6 — all competitions · 1/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
100%
67%
Both score Ø 84%
100%
67%
Average goals
3,0
3,5
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
2,0
2,2
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

35% Possession 65%
7 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 7
1 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 2
1 Offside 3
10 Free kicks against 7
3 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Nurnberg 1 1 0 0 +8 3
2 Leverkusen 1 1 0 0 +8 3
3 Heidenheim 1 1 0 0 +8 3
4 M'gladbach 1 1 0 0 +7 3
5 Ein Frankfurt 1 1 0 0 +7 3
6 Wolfsburg 1 1 0 0 +6 3
7 Dortmund 1 1 0 0 +5 3
8 Hertha 1 1 0 0 +5 3
9 St Pauli 1 1 0 0 +5 3
10 Kaiserslautern 1 1 0 0 +5 3
11 Stuttgart 1 1 0 0 +4 3
12 Schalke 04 1 1 0 0 +2 3
13 Fortuna Dusseldorf 1 1 0 0 +2 3
14 Freiburg 1 1 0 0 +2 3
15 Holstein Kiel 1 1 0 0 +2 3
16 SpVgg Unterhaching 1 1 0 0 +2 3
17 Hamburg 1 1 0 0 +1 3
18 FC Viktoria Koln 1 1 0 0 +1 3
19 FC Saarbrücken 1 1 0 0 +1 3
20 Mainz 1 1 0 0 +1 3
21 Greuther Furth 1 1 0 0 +1 3
22 Sandhausen 1 0 1 0 +0 1
23 Hannover 1 0 1 0 +0 1
24 Bielefeld 1 0 1 0 +0 1
25 Bochum 1 0 1 0 +0 1
26 Rot-Weiß Essen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
27 Werder Bremen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
28 Karlsruhe 1 0 0 1 -1 0
29 Elversberg 1 0 0 1 -1 0
30 Hallescher FC 1 0 0 1 -1 0
31 Braunschweig 1 0 0 1 -2 0
32 Illertissen 1 0 0 1 -2 0
33 Oberachern 1 0 0 1 -2 0
34 FC Gutersloh 1 0 0 1 -2 0
35 Augsburg 1 0 0 1 -2 0
36 Balingen 1 0 0 1 -4 0
37 Schott Mainz 1 0 0 1 -5 0
38 Carl Zeiss Jena 1 0 0 1 -5 0
39 Atlas Delmenhorst 1 0 0 1 -5 0
40 TuS RW Koblenz 1 0 0 1 -5 0
41 Makkabi 1 0 0 1 -6 0
42 Bersenbrück 1 0 0 1 -7 0
43 Lokomotive Leipzig 1 0 0 1 -7 0
44 Oberneuland 1 0 0 1 -8 0
45 Teutonia Ottensen 1 0 0 1 -8 0
46 Rostocker FC 1 0 0 1 -8 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cottbus Paderborn
3′
⚽ D. Pelivan 1–0
own goal
11′
⚽ V. Musliu 1–1
F. Muslija
20′
⚽ F. Bilbija 1–2
L. Curda
Jonas Hofmann 🟨
27′
Dominik Pelivan 🟨
32′
T. Hasse 🔁
↦ P. Milde
34′
Rudolf Dovn Ndualu 🟨
38′
Half-time 1–2
P. Halbauer 🔁
↦ R. Ndualu
46′
J. Putze 🔁
↦ M. Oesterhelweg
46′
51′
⚽ F. Bilbija 1–3
64′
⚽ F. Muslija 1–4
T. Thiele 🔁
↦ T. Heike
65′
C. Euschen 🔁
↦ A. Prokopenko
65′
65′
🔁 S. Klaas
↦ K. Klefisch
65′
🔁 N. Nadj
↦ F. Muslija
65′
🔁 T. Müller
↦ D. Kinsombi
73′
🔁 F. Platte
↦ F. Bilbija
73′
🔁 A. Grimaldi
↦ S. Conteh
83′
⚽ S. Klaas 1–5
N. Nadj
85′
⚽ M. Hansen 1–6
L. Curda
Full-time 1–6

Line-ups

Cottbus

4-3-3
12 E. Bethke G
31 P. Milde D
27 D. Slamar D
17 J. Hildebrandt D
20 A. Borgmann D
6 J. Hofmann M
5 D. Pelivan M
10 M. Oesterhelweg M
22 R. Ndualu F
9 T. Heike F
37 A. Prokopenko F
Bench (9)
14 T. Hasse
11 P. Halbauer
8 J. Putze
7 T. Thiele
18 C. Euschen
4 T. Campulka
36 J. Juckel
1 A. Sebald
30 K. Pischon

Coach: C. Wollitz

Paderborn

4-2-2-2
21 J. Huth G
17 L. Curda D
24 J. Heuer D
16 V. Musliu D
19 K. Ezekwem D
27 K. Klefisch M
22 M. Hansen M
8 D. Kinsombi M
30 F. Muslija M
11 S. Conteh F
7 F. Bilbija F
Bench (9)
26 S. Klaas
40 N. Nadj
15 T. Müller
36 F. Platte
39 A. Grimaldi
33 M. Hoffmeier
6 M. Schuster
1 P. Boevink
13 R. Leipertz

Coach: L. Kwasniok

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

R Schröder · 105 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.