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Bundesliga
Referee: A Kijas
Tirol
T T T U U
2–4
Full-time
BW Linz
T U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tirol BW Linz
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/5 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,5
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
33%
80%
Both score Ø 64%
67%
60%
Average goals
2,3
4,2
Scored
0,7
1,0
Conceded
1,7
3,2
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-2,2
This season — Bundesliga · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,4
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
40%
80%
Both score Ø 60%
60%
60%
Average goals
2,4
4,2
Scored
0,6
1,0
Conceded
1,8
3,2
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-2,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

62% Possession 38%
11 Shots 11
5 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 1
0 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Tirol 10. · BW Linz 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Salzburg 5 5 0 0 +12 15
2 Sturm Graz 5 4 1 0 +9 13
3 A. Klagenfurt 5 2 3 0 +5 9
4 SK Rapid 5 2 2 1 +8 8
5 LASK 5 2 2 1 +2 8
6 Altach 5 2 1 2 -2 7
7 Wolfsberger AC 5 1 3 1 +0 6
8 Hartberg 5 1 2 2 -6 5
9 Austria Vienna 5 1 1 3 -5 4
10 Tirol 5 0 2 3 -6 2
11 A. Lustenau 5 0 2 3 -6 2
12 BW Linz 5 0 1 4 -11 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Tirol BW Linz
2′
Ronivaldo 0–1
S. Pirkl
11′
P. Mensah 0–2
F. Strauß
1–2 L. Kronberger
20′
26′
🟨 Tobias Koch
29′
🟨 Ronivaldo
Half-time 1–2
46′
🔁 D. Mitrović
↦ S. Haudum
52′
C. Noß 1–3
Ronivaldo
56′
🔁 S. Feiertag
↦ Ronivaldo
J. Ertlthaler 🔁
↦ A. Ranacher
61′
S. Ogrinec 🔁
↦ C. Üstündag
61′
M. Diarra 🔁
↦ N. Prelec
61′
64′
J. Gölles 1–4
S. Feiertag
Julius Ertlthaler 🟨
66′
2–4 M. Diarra
74′
J. Forst 🔁
↦ A. Buksa
75′
82′
🔁 R. Hofer
↦ P. Mensah
82′
🔁 K. Dobras
↦ C. Noß
82′
🔁 M. Schantl
↦ J. Gölles
S. Škrbo 🔁
↦ D. Gugganig
83′
Full-time 2–4

Line-ups

Tirol

4-3-1-2
40 A. Stejskal G
14 A. Ranacher D
5 F. Bacher D
3 D. Gugganig D
44 K. Schulz D
6 L. Sulzbacher M
20 C. Üstündag M
7 L. Kronberger M
30 M. Taferner M
11 A. Buksa F
9 N. Prelec F
Bench (7)
77 J. Ertlthaler
98 S. Ogrinec
8 M. Diarra
19 J. Forst
23 S. Škrbo
26 D. Štumberger
13 B. Ozegovic

Coach: T. Silberberger

BW Linz

3-4-2-1
1 N. Schmid G
27 S. Haudum D
15 M. Maranda D
2 F. Strauß D
14 J. Gölles M
4 M. Krainz M
6 T. Koch M
8 S. Pirkl M
10 P. Mensah F
7 C. Noß F
9 Ronivaldo F
Bench (7)
5 D. Mitrović
18 S. Feiertag
11 R. Hofer
30 K. Dobras
28 M. Schantl
12 A. Lukse
13 M. Brandner

Coach: G. Scheiblehner

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Kijas · 62 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.