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2. Bundesliga
Referee: F Brych
Hannover
S S S U S
1–2
Full-time
Hamburg
T S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hannover Hamburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 83%
83%
83%
Points per game
2,7
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,7
2,5
Scored
2,0
1,8
Conceded
0,7
0,7
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+1,2
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 67%
56%
78%
Points per game
1,9
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
67%
22%
Both score Ø 45%
67%
22%
Average goals
3,2
2,1
Scored
1,9
1,6
Conceded
1,3
0,6
Goal diff per game
+0,6
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

33% Possession 67%
8 Shots 18
4 Shots on target 7
0 Blocked shots 2
7 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 5
0 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hannover 4. · Hamburg 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Hamburg 9 7 0 2 +9 21
2 Paderborn 9 6 1 2 +15 19
3 Darmstadt 9 5 3 1 +7 18
4 Hannover 9 5 2 2 +5 17
5 Heidenheim 9 4 4 1 +7 16
6 Fortuna Dusseldorf 9 4 2 3 +4 14
7 Kaiserslautern 9 3 5 1 +3 14
8 Holstein Kiel 9 3 3 3 -3 12
9 Hansa Rostock 9 4 0 5 -4 12
10 Karlsruhe 9 3 2 4 +1 11
11 Regensburg 9 3 2 4 -7 11
12 St Pauli 9 2 4 3 -1 10
13 Nurnberg 9 3 1 5 -6 10
14 Bielefeld 9 2 2 5 -3 8
15 Sandhausen 9 2 2 5 -3 8
16 Braunschweig 9 2 2 5 -9 8
17 Greuther Furth 9 1 4 4 -5 7
18 Magdeburg 9 2 1 6 -10 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hannover Hamburg
1–0 S. Muroya
4′
11′
🟨 Mario Vušković
15′
J. Börner 2–0
own goal
28′
🟨 László Bénes
Julian Börner 🟨
33′
Half-time 2–0
48′
🟨 Sonny Kittel
S. Kerk 🔁
↦ C. Teuchert
53′
Fabian Kunze 🟨
63′
H. Weydandt 🔁
↦ N. Tresoldi
70′
70′
🔁 R. Königsdörffer
↦ S. Kittel
71′
🟨 Sebastian Schonlau
76′
🔁 A. Suhonen
↦ L. Bénes
M. Besuschkow 🔁
↦ F. Kunze
88′
Derrick Köhn 🟨
90′
92′
R. Königsdörffer 2–1
J. Meffert
95′
🔁 J. David
↦ B. Jatta
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Hannover

3-4-1-2
1 R. Zieler G
5 P. Neumann D
31 J. Börner D
32 L. Krajnc D
21 S. Muroya M
8 E. Leopold M
6 F. Kunze M
18 D. Köhn M
16 H. Nielsen F
23 N. Tresoldi F
36 C. Teuchert F
Bench (9)
37 S. Kerk
9 H. Weydandt
7 M. Besuschkow
20 J. Dehm
24 A. Fóti
11 L. Schaub
22 S. Stolze
30 L. Weinkauf
4 B. Arrey-Mbi

Coach: S. Leitl

Hamburg

4-3-3
1 Daniel Heuer G
3 M. Heyer D
44 M. Vušković D
4 S. Schonlau D
28 M. Muheim D
14 L. Reis M
23 J. Meffert M
8 L. Bénes M
18 B. Jatta F
9 R. Glatzel F
10 S. Kittel F
Bench (9)
11 R. Königsdörffer
36 A. Suhonen
34 J. David
19 M. Raab
17 X. Amaechi
7 F. Bilbija
2 W. Mikelbrencis
46 E. Krahn
21 T. Leibold

Coach: T. Walter

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,45
U
3,67
B ✓
2,02
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,62
U2,5
2,29
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

F Brych · 113 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.