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2. Bundesliga

Paderborn

T T T T T

3–4

Full-time

Hamburg

S U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Paderborn Hamburg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

3,2

3,5

Scored

0,8

1,5

Conceded

2,3

2,0

Goal diff per game

-1,5

-0,5

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

0,0

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

1,0

3,0

Scored

0,0

2,0

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–2

9 Shots 15

5 Shots on target 9

7 Corners 6

12 Free kicks against 9

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Paderborn 16. · Hamburg 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Erzgebirge Aue	2	1	1	0	+3	4
2	St Pauli	2	1	1	0	+2	4
3	Osnabruck	2	1	1	0	+1	4
4	Bochum	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Nurnberg	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Holstein Kiel	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Hannover	2	1	0	1	+1	3
8	Hamburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Heidenheim	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Sandhausen	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Fortuna Dusseldorf	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Greuther Furth	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Regensburg	2	0	2	0	+0	2
14	Darmstadt	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Braunschweig	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Paderborn	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Karlsruhe	2	0	0	2	-3	0
18	Wurzburger Kickers	2	0	0	2	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Pauli	1	1	0	0	+2	3
2	Heidenheim	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Hannover	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Sandhausen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Hamburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Osnabruck	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Fortuna Dusseldorf	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Holstein Kiel	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Nurnberg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Bochum	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Greuther Furth	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Erzgebirge Aue	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Regensburg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Darmstadt	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Braunschweig	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Karlsruhe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Wurzburger Kickers	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Erzgebirge Aue	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Bochum	1	1	0	0	+1	3
3	St Pauli	1	0	1	0	+0	1
4	Osnabruck	1	0	1	0	+0	1
5	Greuther Furth	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Nurnberg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Regensburg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Holstein Kiel	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Darmstadt	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	Fortuna Dusseldorf	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Hannover	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Wurzburger Kickers	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Paderborn	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Sandhausen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Heidenheim	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Braunschweig	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Karlsruhe	1	0	0	1	-2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.