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2. Bundesliga

Referee: B Cortus

Paderborn

S U S S T

1–2

Full-time

Darmstadt

S U U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Paderborn Darmstadt

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,2

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,5

Scored

2,5

2,3

Conceded

1,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,5

+1,2

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 9/9 matches

Win Ø 62%

67%

56%

Points per game

2,1

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

78%

56%

Both score Ø 56%

56%

Average goals

3,9

3,0

Scored

2,8

1,9

Conceded

1,1

Goal diff per game

+1,7

+0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

66% Possession 34%

17 Shots 13

6 Shots on target 6

5 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 5

7 Corners 2

1 Offside 2

12 Free kicks against 12

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Paderborn 2. · Darmstadt 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hamburg	9	7	0	2	+9	21
2	Paderborn	9	6	1	2	+15	19
3	Darmstadt	9	5	3	1	+7	18
4	Hannover	9	5	2	2	+5	17
5	Heidenheim	9	4	4	1	+7	16
6	Fortuna Dusseldorf	9	4	2	3	+4	14
7	Kaiserslautern	9	3	5	1	+3	14
8	Holstein Kiel	9	3	3	3	-3	12
9	Hansa Rostock	9	4	0	5	-4	12
10	Karlsruhe	9	3	2	4	+1	11
11	Regensburg	9	3	2	4	-7	11
12	St Pauli	9	2	4	3	-1	10
13	Nurnberg	9	3	1	5	-6	10
14	Bielefeld	9	2	2	5	-3	8
15	Sandhausen	9	2	2	5	-3	8
16	Braunschweig	9	2	2	5	-9	8
17	Greuther Furth	9	1	4	4	-5	7
18	Magdeburg	9	2	1	6	-10	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paderborn	5	5	0	0	+16	15
2	Darmstadt	5	3	2	0	+7	11
3	Fortuna Dusseldorf	4	3	1	0	+7	10
4	Hansa Rostock	5	3	0	2	+3	9
5	Hamburg	5	3	0	2	+2	9
6	St Pauli	4	2	2	0	+4	8
7	Heidenheim	4	2	2	0	+4	8
8	Hannover	4	2	2	0	+2	8
9	Kaiserslautern	5	2	2	1	+1	8
10	Regensburg	5	2	2	1	-2	8
11	Holstein Kiel	4	2	1	1	+3	7
12	Karlsruhe	4	2	1	1	+2	7
13	Braunschweig	5	2	1	2	+0	7
14	Sandhausen	5	2	1	2	+0	7
15	Bielefeld	4	2	0	2	+0	6
16	Greuther Furth	5	1	3	1	-1	6
17	Nurnberg	4	2	0	2	-2	6
18	Magdeburg	4	1	0	3	-5	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hamburg	4	4	0	0	+7	12
2	Hannover	5	3	0	2	+3	9
3	Heidenheim	5	2	2	1	+3	8
4	Darmstadt	4	2	1	1	+0	7
5	Kaiserslautern	4	1	3	0	+2	6
6	Holstein Kiel	5	1	2	2	-6	5
7	Karlsruhe	5	1	1	3	-1	4
8	Paderborn	4	1	1	2	-1	4
9	Fortuna Dusseldorf	5	1	1	3	-3	4
10	Nurnberg	5	1	1	3	-4	4
11	Magdeburg	5	1	1	3	-5	4
12	Regensburg	4	1	0	3	-5	3
13	Hansa Rostock	4	1	0	3	-7	3
14	Bielefeld	5	0	2	3	-3	2
15	St Pauli	5	0	2	3	-5	2
16	Sandhausen	4	0	1	3	-3	1
17	Greuther Furth	4	0	1	3	-4	1
18	Braunschweig	4	0	1	3	-9	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.