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2. Bundesliga

Werder Bremen

S U S S T

1–0

Full-time

Darmstadt

U U S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Werder Bremen Darmstadt

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,2

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 84%

100%

67%

Average goals

3,2

Scored

1,8

1,3

Conceded

1,3

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,5

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 26/26 matches

Win Ø 54%

54%

Points per game

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 70%

77%

62%

Both score Ø 60%

65%

54%

Average goals

3,3

Scored

1,9

2,0

Conceded

1,4

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

26 Shots 12

10 Shots on target 3

6 Corners 1

12 Free kicks against 13

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Werder Bremen 3. · Darmstadt 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Pauli	27	15	6	6	+16	51
2	Darmstadt	26	14	6	6	+20	48
3	Werder Bremen	26	14	6	6	+14	48
4	Schalke 04	27	14	5	8	+21	47
5	Nurnberg	26	13	6	7	+6	45
6	Hamburg	26	10	12	4	+19	42
7	Heidenheim	27	12	6	9	-1	42
8	Paderborn	26	9	10	7	+9	37
9	Karlsruhe	27	9	10	8	+6	37
10	Hansa Rostock	27	9	7	11	-8	34
11	Regensburg	26	9	6	11	+4	33
12	Fortuna Dusseldorf	27	8	8	11	-1	32
13	Holstein Kiel	26	8	7	11	-10	31
14	Hannover	27	8	7	12	-15	31
15	Sandhausen	27	7	9	11	-14	30
16	Dresden	26	7	6	13	-10	27
17	Erzgebirge Aue	26	4	7	15	-27	19
18	Ingolstadt	26	3	6	17	-29	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Pauli	13	10	2	1	+19	32
2	Heidenheim	13	8	4	1	+9	28
3	Schalke 04	14	8	2	4	+12	26
4	Hamburg	13	6	6	1	+12	24
5	Darmstadt	13	7	3	3	+11	24
6	Nurnberg	13	7	2	4	+4	23
7	Werder Bremen	12	6	4	2	+10	22
8	Karlsruhe	14	5	6	3	+6	21
9	Regensburg	13	5	3	5	+5	18
10	Dresden	13	5	3	5	+2	18
11	Fortuna Dusseldorf	14	4	5	5	+3	17
12	Holstein Kiel	13	5	2	6	-5	17
13	Hannover	13	4	4	5	-6	16
14	Paderborn	14	2	6	6	-3	12
15	Hansa Rostock	13	3	3	7	-8	12
16	Erzgebirge Aue	14	3	2	9	-15	11
17	Sandhausen	13	2	4	7	-12	10
18	Ingolstadt	13	1	4	8	-13	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Werder Bremen	14	8	2	4	+4	26
2	Paderborn	12	7	4	1	+12	25
3	Darmstadt	13	7	3	3	+9	24
4	Nurnberg	13	6	4	3	+2	22
5	Hansa Rostock	14	6	4	4	+0	22
6	Schalke 04	13	6	3	4	+9	21
7	Sandhausen	14	5	5	4	-2	20
8	St Pauli	14	5	4	5	-3	19
9	Hamburg	13	4	6	3	+7	18
10	Karlsruhe	13	4	4	5	+0	16
11	Regensburg	13	4	3	6	-1	15
12	Fortuna Dusseldorf	13	4	3	6	-4	15
13	Hannover	14	4	3	7	-9	15
14	Holstein Kiel	13	3	5	5	-5	14
15	Heidenheim	14	4	2	8	-10	14
16	Dresden	13	2	3	8	-12	9
17	Erzgebirge Aue	12	1	5	6	-12	8
18	Ingolstadt	13	2	2	9	-16	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.