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2. Bundesliga

Erzgebirge Aue

T S U S S

1–2

Full-time

Darmstadt

S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Erzgebirge Aue Darmstadt

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

50%

83%

Points per game

1,8

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,2

4,0

Scored

1,3

3,3

Conceded

0,8

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+2,7

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 14/14 matches

Win Ø 39%

21%

57%

Points per game

1,0

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

43%

71%

Both score Ø 54%

57%

50%

Average goals

2,4

3,6

Scored

0,9

2,5

Conceded

1,4

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+1,4

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

9 Shots 17

5 Shots on target 7

1 Corners 7

10 Free kicks against 11

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Erzgebirge Aue 14. · Darmstadt 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Pauli	14	9	2	3	+15	29
2	Regensburg	15	8	4	3	+13	28
3	Darmstadt	14	8	2	4	+19	26
4	Paderborn	14	7	4	3	+12	25
5	Nurnberg	14	6	6	2	+7	24
6	Heidenheim	15	7	3	5	-4	24
7	Hamburg	14	5	8	1	+8	23
8	Schalke 04	14	7	2	5	+6	23
9	Werder Bremen	14	5	5	4	+0	20
10	Karlsruhe	14	4	6	4	+0	18
11	Hansa Rostock	14	5	2	7	-7	17
12	Fortuna Dusseldorf	15	4	4	7	-3	16
13	Dresden	15	5	1	9	-5	16
14	Erzgebirge Aue	14	3	5	6	-7	14
15	Hannover	14	3	5	6	-8	14
16	Holstein Kiel	14	3	5	6	-10	14
17	Sandhausen	14	3	3	8	-14	12
18	Ingolstadt	14	1	3	10	-22	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Pauli	7	7	0	0	+18	21
2	Darmstadt	7	6	0	1	+17	18
3	Regensburg	8	5	2	1	+10	17
4	Heidenheim	8	4	3	1	+2	15
5	Nurnberg	7	4	2	1	+7	14
6	Dresden	7	4	0	3	+4	12
7	Hamburg	7	2	5	0	+4	11
8	Schalke 04	7	3	1	3	+3	10
9	Werder Bremen	7	2	3	2	+1	9
10	Karlsruhe	7	2	3	2	+0	9
11	Paderborn	7	2	2	3	+0	8
12	Erzgebirge Aue	7	2	2	3	-3	8
13	Hannover	7	2	2	3	-3	8
14	Hansa Rostock	7	2	1	4	-5	7
15	Holstein Kiel	7	2	1	4	-7	7
16	Fortuna Dusseldorf	7	1	3	3	-1	6
17	Ingolstadt	7	0	3	4	-8	3
18	Sandhausen	7	0	2	5	-12	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paderborn	7	5	2	0	+12	17
2	Schalke 04	7	4	1	2	+3	13
3	Hamburg	7	3	3	1	+4	12
4	Regensburg	7	3	2	2	+3	11
5	Werder Bremen	7	3	2	2	-1	11
6	Nurnberg	7	2	4	1	+0	10
7	Hansa Rostock	7	3	1	3	-2	10
8	Sandhausen	7	3	1	3	-2	10
9	Fortuna Dusseldorf	8	3	1	4	-2	10
10	Karlsruhe	7	2	3	2	+0	9
11	Heidenheim	7	3	0	4	-6	9
12	Darmstadt	7	2	2	3	+2	8
13	St Pauli	7	2	2	3	-3	8
14	Holstein Kiel	7	1	4	2	-3	7
15	Erzgebirge Aue	7	1	3	3	-4	6
16	Hannover	7	1	3	3	-5	6
17	Dresden	8	1	1	6	-9	4
18	Ingolstadt	7	1	0	6	-14	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.